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60年来大气中二氧化碳浓度数据的趋势方程研究
引用本文:阎坤.60年来大气中二氧化碳浓度数据的趋势方程研究[J].地球物理学进展,2009,24(5):1665-1670.
作者姓名:阎坤
作者单位:西安现代非线性科学应用研究所,西安,710061
摘    要:通过讨论已有的60年来大气中CO2浓度数据的分布状态,采用趋势分析方法,给出了具体趋势方程形式.与冰芯分析或观测数据对比结果表明,趋势方程曲线与已有数据基本符合,随后初步给出了2010年至2016年间大气中CO2浓度预测值.

关 键 词:二氧化碳浓度  大气  趋势方程  曲线拟合  预测值  数据分析
收稿时间:2009-3-10
修稿时间:2009-5-10

Research on tendency equation about the concentration data of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere over the past 60 years
YAN Kun.Research on tendency equation about the concentration data of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere over the past 60 years[J].Progress in Geophysics,2009,24(5):1665-1670.
Authors:YAN Kun
Abstract:In this paper, by discussing the existing distribution of the CO2 concentration data in the atmosphere over the past 60 years, and adopting the tendency analytical method, the concrete tendency equation forms of the CO2 concentration are presented. Further more, the comparison result between the curve of the theoretical equation and the data curve of CO2 concentration from the ice cores analysis or the observation is given.The result shows that the tendency equation curve agrees well with the existing data. Subsequently, the predictive data of the CO2 concentration in the atmosphere from 2010 to 2016 are suggested tentatively.
Keywords:concentration of carbon dioxide  atmosphere  tendency equation  curve fitting  predictive data  data analysis
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