| 用数值模拟方法评估华北北部地震危险性 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘洁,宋惠珍.用数值模拟方法评估华北北部地震危险性[J].地震地质,1999,21(3):221-228. |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘洁 宋惠珍 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国地震局地质研究所,北京,100029 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家科委“八五”重点科技攻关项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 根据华北北部地区深浅部地质特征建立地质模型，采用含位错面的三维粘弹性有限单元方法，在反演断层深部滑动速率的基础上计算区域内有效应力和应变能密度随时间的变化。由数值模拟结果估计华北北部的地震危险性，提出了 ３ 个潜在震源区：张家口及以北地区，震级上限为 ６ 级，孕震层在上地壳下部；延怀盆地，震级上限为 ７ 级，孕震层在中地壳；阳原盆地，震级上限为６ 级，孕震层在下地壳上部
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| 关 键 词： | 位错 粘弹性 有限元 地震预测 华北 |
| 修稿时间： | 1998年9月1日 |
ESTIMATION OF EARTHQUAKE RISK FOR NORTHERN NORTH CHINA BY NUMERICAL MODELING |
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| Liu Jie,Song Huizhen.ESTIMATION OF EARTHQUAKE RISK FOR NORTHERN NORTH CHINA BY NUMERICAL MODELING[J].Seismology and Geology,1999,21(3):221-228. |
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| Authors: | Liu Jie Song Huizhen |
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| Abstract: | Based upon the deep and shallow geological features of northern North China area(39～41°N,114～117°E), a tectonic model is established. With this model the effective stress, the strain energy density and their variations with time are calculated using the 3 D viscoelastic finite element method containing dislocation plane.Deep slip rates of several major active faults are inversed by the dislocation inverse method to provide boundary conditions for the calculations. From the results of modeling, three diffe |
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| Keywords: | Dislocation Viscoelastic Finite element Earthquake predication North China |
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