| 华北地区未来50年地震危险性与强震预测研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 张卫东,李茂林,王九洋,史宏伟.华北地区未来50年地震危险性与强震预测研究[J].东北地震研究,2006,22(4):6-13. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张卫东 李茂林 王九洋 史宏伟 |
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| 作者单位： | 大连地震台,辽宁,大连,116012 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文对文献1]、2]的某些结论和结果作了认真的分析和讨论,提出了不同的观点。应用极值理论和b值方法对华北地震区未来50年的地震危险性和活动水平进行了分析,给出了各震级档次地震发生的概率预测。
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| 关 键 词： | 华北地区 未来50年 地震危险性 强震预测 |
| 文章编号： | 1004-2865（2006）04-0006-08 |
| 收稿时间： | 2006-04-01 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-04-01 |
RESEARCH ON THE EARTHQUAKE RISK AND STRONG EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION FOR THE NEXT 50 YEARS IN NORTH CHINA AREA |
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| Zhang Wei-dong,LI Mao-lin,WANG Jiu-yang,SHI Hong-wei.RESEARCH ON THE EARTHQUAKE RISK AND STRONG EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION FOR THE NEXT 50 YEARS IN NORTH CHINA AREA[J].Seismological Research of Northeast China,2006,22(4):6-13. |
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| Authors: | Zhang Wei-dong LI Mao-lin WANG Jiu-yang SHI Hong-wei |
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| Institution: | Dalian Seismic Station, Liaoning Dalian 116012, China |
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| Abstract: | Some results and conclusions were discussed in detail in this paper,the different viewpoints were put forward.The earthquake risk and sismicity for the next 50 years in North China were analysed and predited by the extremum and b value method.The probability prediction of the different magnitute earthquake to occur was advanced at the same time. |
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| Keywords: | North China area the next 50 years earthquake risk strong earthquake prediction |
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