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山西及其邻区地下流体强震中期和中短期预测时间方法研究
引用本文:范雪芳,王吉易,张淑亮,马朝晖.山西及其邻区地下流体强震中期和中短期预测时间方法研究[J].西北地震学报,2007,29(2):177-182.
作者姓名:范雪芳  王吉易  张淑亮  马朝晖
作者单位:1. 山西省地震局,山西,太原,030021
2. 河北省地震局,河北,石家庄,050021
基金项目:山西省地震局基金制项目
摘    要:收集观测连续、动态稳定的井(泉)的水位、水氡观测资料,选择适合中期和中短期的异常提取方法,对大同6.1和张北6.2级地震前的水位、水氡异常进行分析,依据统计资料给出了山西及其邻区强震地下流体中期和中短期发震时间预测的指标与方法。

关 键 词:山西  地下流体  前兆异常  中期  中短期  地震预测
文章编号:1000-0844(2007)02-0177-06
修稿时间:2006-06-09

Study on the Intermediate-term and Intermediate-short-term Forecast Method for Strong Earthquake from Underground Lquid in Shanxi Province and Its Adjacent Regions
FAN?Xue-fang,WANG?Ji-yi,ZHANG?Shu-liang and MA?Zhao-hui.Study on the Intermediate-term and Intermediate-short-term Forecast Method for Strong Earthquake from Underground Lquid in Shanxi Province and Its Adjacent Regions[J].Northwestern Seismological Journal,2007,29(2):177-182.
Authors:FAN?Xue-fang  WANG?Ji-yi  ZHANG?Shu-liang and MA?Zhao-hui
Institution:1. Earthquake Administration of Shanxi Province, Taiyuan 030021 ,China ; 2. Earthquake Administration of Hebei Province, Shijiazhuang 050021, China
Abstract:In this paper,the observation data of groundwater levels in well/spring and water radon with continuous and stable observation in Shanxi province and its adjacent regions are collected.The special method for extracting intermediate-term and intermediate-short-term anomalies was chosen and used to analyse the anomalies of groundwater level and water radon before Datong M6.1 and Zhangbei M6.2 earthquakes.Based on the statistical data,the index and method for intermediate-term and intermediate-short-term strong earthquake forecast judging by the precursor anomalies in underground liquid in this area are suggested.
Keywords:Shanxi province  Underground lquid  Precursor anomaly  Intermediate-term  Intermediate-short-term  Earthquake prediction
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