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青海玉树7.1级大震的预测讨论
引用本文:郭安宁,郭增建,焦姣,李鑫.青海玉树7.1级大震的预测讨论[J].西北地震学报,2012,34(1):39-43.
作者姓名:郭安宁  郭增建  焦姣  李鑫
作者单位:中国地震局兰州地震研究所,甘肃兰州 73000
基金项目:中国地震局兰州地震研究所论著编号:LC2012010
摘    要:讨论了2010年4月14日青海玉树大震的震源组合模式。用临界慢化的观点讨论了玉树大震的前震。以异年倍九律与磁暴二倍法相配讨论了玉树大震的发生日期。

关 键 词:玉树地震  震源组合模式  前震序列  临界慢化  异年倍九律  磁暴二倍法

Discussion on the Prediction of the Yushu Ms7.1 Earthquake in Qinghai Province in 2010
GUO An-ning,GUO Zeng-jian,JIAO Jiao,LI Xin.Discussion on the Prediction of the Yushu Ms7.1 Earthquake in Qinghai Province in 2010[J].Northwestern Seismological Journal,2012,34(1):39-43.
Authors:GUO An-ning  GUO Zeng-jian  JIAO Jiao  LI Xin
Institution:(Lanzhou Institute of Seismology,Lanzhou 730000,China)
Abstract:The source combination model of the Yushu MS7.1 earthquake in Qinghai province on April 14,2010 is discussed.Using the view point of slowing down in critics the foreshocks before the Yushu earthquake are identified in some sense.The occurrence date prediction of the Yushu earthquake is suggested to be determined by the methods of "rhythm of multiplied nine days in different years" and the "two times of magnetic storm".
Keywords:Yushu earthquake  Combination model of earthquake source  Foreshock sequence  Slowing down in critics  Rhythm of multiplied nine days in different years  Two times of magnetic storm
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