| 以伽师地震为例试论临震预报的可能性与局限性 |
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| 引用本文： | 苏乃秦,杨马陵.以伽师地震为例试论临震预报的可能性与局限性[J].西北地震学报,1998,20(4):35-42. |
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| 作者姓名： | 苏乃秦 杨马陵 |
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| 作者单位： | 新疆维吾尔自治区地震局 |
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| 摘 要： | 地震前兆十分复杂，时空分布很不均匀，某些地方在某些时候，有可能表现出较为明显的地震前兆，只要我们有相应的监测能力和分析预报能力，是有可能实现地震预报的。
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| 关 键 词： | 临震预报 新疆 伽师地震群 地震预报 可能性 |
| 收稿时间： | 1997/10/23 0:00:00 |
TAKING JIASHI EARTHQUAKE AS AN EXAMPLE TO DISCUSS THE POSSIBILITY AND LIMITATION OF IMPENDING EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION |
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| Su Naiqin and Yang Maling.TAKING JIASHI EARTHQUAKE AS AN EXAMPLE TO DISCUSS THE POSSIBILITY AND LIMITATION OF IMPENDING EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION[J].Northwestern Seismological Journal,1998,20(4):35-42. |
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| Authors: | Su Naiqin and Yang Maling |
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| Institution: | Seismological Bureau of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Urumqi 830011 and Seismological Bureau of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Urumqi 830011 |
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| Abstract: | Seismic precursor is very complicated.Its temporal and spatial distribution is quite unequal, but in some places and during certain periods it may appear obviously.It is possible to predict earthquake successfully if we have corresponding ability of monitoring and analysing earthquake. Based on the fact of successful impending earthquake prediction in Jiashi and several others in China.authors have analysed the possibility and limitation of impending earthquake prediction in the paper.Finally.It is pointed out that because earthquake prediction is not successful generally, the predictions were made mainly by experience.In this situation,it might be better to take tactics of solving easy problem firstly and hard problem secondly,and to concentrate ascendant strength on the important monitored regions where seismic precursors would appear frequently. |
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| Keywords: | Impending earthquake Xinjiang Jiashi earthquake swarm |
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