| 大同遥测地震台网小震群活动与大同-阳高中强地震预报讨论 |
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| 引用本文： | 李祝,薛振岳,赵淑珍,金文臣,秦保燕.大同遥测地震台网小震群活动与大同-阳高中强地震预报讨论[J].西北地震学报,1996,18(4):17-22. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李祝 薛振岳 赵淑珍 金文臣 秦保燕 |
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| 作者单位： | 山西省地震局大同中心地震台，国家地震局兰州地震研究所 |
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| 摘 要： | 根据大同遥测地震台网记录到的小震群资料，用组合模式理论［１］对本区的小震群时空演化规律进行了分析研究。结果表明，对于１９８９年１０月１８日在本区发生的大同—阳高５．８级地震，利用震前小震群资料得出的预报震中与实际震中有较好的一致性。另外，通过震群与外因相关性的分析，对发震时间的预报也取得了较好的效果
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| 关 键 词： | 小震活动 地震预报 组合模式 大同—阳高地震 |
| 收稿时间： | 1996/3/12 0:00:00 |
| 修稿时间： | 1996/4/13 0:00:00 |
ACTIVITY OF SMALL EARTHQUAKE SWAR MS AND PREDICTION OF THE DATONG-YANGGAO MS 5.8 EARTHQUAKE |
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| Li Zhu,Xue Zhenyue,Zhao Shuzhen,Jin Wenchen and Qin Baoyan.ACTIVITY OF SMALL EARTHQUAKE SWAR MS AND PREDICTION OF THE DATONG-YANGGAO MS 5.8 EARTHQUAKE[J].Northwestern Seismological Journal,1996,18(4):17-22. |
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| Authors: | Li Zhu Xue Zhenyue Zhao Shuzhen Jin Wenchen and Qin Baoyan |
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| Institution: | Datong Central Seismostation, Datong 037008,Datong Central Seismostation, Datong 037008,Datong Central Seismostation, Datong 037008,Datong Central Seismostation, Datong 037008 and Earthquake Research Institute of Lanzhou, SSB, Lanzhou 730000 |
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| Abstract: | On the basis of microearthquake data recorded by the Datong telemetry network,the temporal and spatial evolution regularity of small earthquake swarms in the region is analyzed by using the combination pattern theory.The results show thatthe predicted epicenter is consistent with the real epicenter of the Datong Yanggao M S5.8 earthquake occurring on Oct.18,1989.In addition,through the analysis on relation of earthquake swarms to external causes,the origin time is predicted better. |
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| Keywords: | Small earthquake activity Earthquake prediction Combination pattern Datong Yanggao earthquake |
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