| 新一代地震预报专家系统NGESEP预报效能的初步研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 蒋春曦,李东升.新一代地震预报专家系统NGESEP预报效能的初步研究[J].华北地震科学,1996,14(4):51-57. |
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| 作者姓名： | 蒋春曦 李东升 |
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| 作者单位： | 安徽省地震局 合肥230031
(蒋春羲，李东升)，安徽省地震局 合肥230031(王炜) |
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| 摘 要： | 利用４０个地震震例对新一代地震预报专家系统ＮＧＥＳＥＰ的预报效果进行了检验。比较了使用信度分布图和信度等值线图两种方法未来发震地点的效能，分析了系统对地震三要素的预报结果，表明该系统具有较高的预报效能。
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| 关 键 词： | 地震预报 专家系统 预报效能 |
RESEARCHES ON THE PREDICTION EFFICIENCY OF NEW GENERATION EXPERT SYSTEM FOR EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION |
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| Jiang Chunxi Li Dongsheng Wang Wei.RESEARCHES ON THE PREDICTION EFFICIENCY OF NEW GENERATION EXPERT SYSTEM FOR EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION[J].North China Earthquake Sciences,1996,14(4):51-57. |
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| Authors: | Jiang Chunxi Li Dongsheng Wang Wei |
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| Abstract: | In the paper , a new generation expert system for earthquake prediction (NGESEP) is tested by 40 earthquake cases. The contour method and certainty distribution map method are introduced to express the spatial distribution of earthquake occurrence certainty, and the features of two methods are comm-pared. We also analyse the forecast results of NGESEP for the epicenter, time, and magnitude of earthquakes. Results show that the expert system is efficient to forecast the occurrence time, epicenter and magnitude of earthquakes. |
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| Keywords: | Earquake predictim Expert syetem Prediction efficiency |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 等数据库收录！ |
