Earthquake-induced landslide displacement attenuation models and application in probabilistic seismic landslide displacement analysis |
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Authors: | Jian Zhang Peng Cui Bingkun Zhang Changwei Yang Graeme H McVerry |
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Institution: | 1. Southwest Jiaotong University,Chengdu 610031,China 2. Institute of Mountainous and Disaster,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Chengdu 610041,China 3. GNS Science,PO BOX30368,Lower Hutt,New Zealand |
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Abstract: | A landslide displacement (D
LL) attenuation model has been developed using spectral intensity and a ratio of critical acceleration coefficient to ground
acceleration coefficient. In the development of the model, a New Zealand earthquake record data set with magnitudes ranging
from 5.0 to 7.2 within a source distance of 175 km is used. The model can be used to carry out deterministic landslide displacement
analysis, and readily extended to carry out probabilistic seismic landslide displacement analysis. D
LL attenuation models have also been developed by using earthquake source terms, such as magnitude and source distance, that
account for the effects of earthquake fault type, source type, and site conditions. Sensitivity analyses show that the predicted
D
LL values from the new models are close to those from the Romeo model that was developed from an Italian earthquake record data
set. The proposed models are also applied to an analysis of landslide displacements in the Wenchuan earthquake, and a comparison
between the predicted and the observed results shows that the proposed models are reliable, and can be confidently used in
mapping landslide potential. |
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Keywords: | displacement landslide intensity measures deterministic analysis probabilistic analysis |
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