| The prediction for seismicity trends of M≥8 in the world by analysis of seismicity patterns |
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| 作者姓名： | HUAN Sheng-mu and DONG Rei-yin |
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| 摘 要： | After completion of a study on predicting risky zones of earthquake of M≥8 for 1-3 years in the mainland of China,which was supported by Chinese Joint Seismological Science Foundation(D07018 and D08009),a further study was extended to that of greater magnitudes in the world.Based on the historical earthquake cases,we finished the research report,forecasting global earthquakes with magnitude more than 8.0 using the image analysis of seismicity.In this research report,we summarize 11 abnormal seismicity images for predicting earthquake of M≥8.0 around the world.In our research report,we predicted earthquakes of M≥8.0 from June 2009 to June 2014,the medium term predicting within 5 years period.Among these 5 predictive areas,three earthquakes occurred,which is Samoa M8.1 Earthquake on 29 September 2009,Talca M8.5 Earthquake on 27 January 2010,Chile,and Eastern Sendai M9.0 Earthquake on 11 March 2011,Japan respectively.Here we introduce the main items of the image analysis of seismicity and we predict three earthquakes and think that the image analysis of seismicity can be of help.
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| 关 键 词： | 地震学 理论 方法 地震观测预报 |
The prediction for seismicity trends of M ≥ 8 in the world by analysis of seismicity patterns |
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| HUAN Sheng-mu and DONG Rei-yin.The prediction for seismicity trends of M ≥ 8 in the world by analysis of seismicity patterns[J].Earthquake Research in Sichuan,2014(1):42-47. |
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| Authors: | HUAN Sheng-mu DONG Rei-yin |
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| Institution: | Earthquake Administration of Sichuan Province, Sichuan Chengdu 610041, China |
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| Abstract: | image analysis of seismicity tendency of great earthquake Vanuatu MS. 1 Earthquake Talea Mg. 5 Earthquake in Chile Eastern Sendai M9. 0 Earthquake in Japan |
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| Keywords: | image analysis of seismicity tendency of great earthquake Vanuatu MS 1 Earthquake Talea Mg 5 Earthquake in Chile Eastern Sendai M9 0 Earthquake in Japan |
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