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1997~2005年中国大陆M≥6强震危险区预测检验与总结研究
引用本文:黄圣睦,董瑞英.1997~2005年中国大陆M≥6强震危险区预测检验与总结研究[J].四川地震,2007(2).
作者姓名:黄圣睦  董瑞英
作者单位:四川省地震局,四川成都,610041
摘    要:作者在《中国强震活动图像与地震预报》中运用地震活动图像分析方法,对中国大陆1997~2005年M≥6强震危险性做出了趋势预测,经过预测期内强震实况检验,取得了较好效果。本文对预测方法思路进行了回顾性研究,总结了基本经验和教训,对于提高强震趋势预测研究水平有一定参考价值。

关 键 词:地震活动图像  强震趋势预测  震例经验

Predictive testing and summary on risk areas of strong earthquakes (M≥6.0)from 1997 to 2005 in main land of China
HUANG Sheng-mu,DONG Rui-ying.Predictive testing and summary on risk areas of strong earthquakes (M≥6.0)from 1997 to 2005 in main land of China[J].Earthquake Research in Sichuan,2007(2).
Authors:HUANG Sheng-mu  DONG Rui-ying
Abstract:The seismicity pattern analysis method,which is discussed in the article: strong earthquakes activity patterns in China and earthquake prediction,was used in the tendency prediction for the strong earthquakes(M>=6.0) in main land of China from 1997 to 2005.The strong earthquake cases occurred in the predictive period show a good testing result.We furthermore follow the predictive thought line to re-study the strong earthquakes and summarize some of improved methods.
Keywords:seismicity pattern  tendency prediction of strong earthquake  earthquake cases
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