首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
     检索      

水库地震主震发生时间的预测
引用本文:常宝琦,沈立英.水库地震主震发生时间的预测[J].华南地震,1997,17(2):76-82.
作者姓名:常宝琦  沈立英
作者单位:广东省地震局!广州,510070,广东省地震局!广州,510070,广东省地震局!广州,510070
摘    要:水利工程对水库地震的抗震设防要求事先对水为地震进行预测。预测内容包括蓄水后诱发地震的危险性(可能性、)最大震级、最大震的地占紧及不库地震对场址地震动参数的影响。除主震时间的预测外,本文第一作者都曾提出过初步的预测方法。本文认为,水库地震前震波速比异常、非线性灰色模型以及前震系列回归等方法,是预测主震时间的有前途的方法。

关 键 词:水库诱发地震  发震时刻  预测法  地震工程

PREDICTION ABOUT THE MAINSHOCK ORIGIN TIME OF RESERVOIR EARTHQUAKE
Chang Baoqi, Shen Liying, Liang Jibin.PREDICTION ABOUT THE MAINSHOCK ORIGIN TIME OF RESERVOIR EARTHQUAKE[J].South China Journal of Seismology,1997,17(2):76-82.
Authors:Chang Baoqi  Shen Liying  Liang Jibin
Abstract:Reservoir earthquake predicting is required to do a priori by earthquake resistance protection of water conservancy works against reservoir earthquake. The predicting contents include the risk (probability) of induced earthquake after impoundment, maximum magnitude, location and origin time of the mainshock and influence of the earthquake on seismic dynamic parameters etc. The methods of foreshock Vp/Vs ratio anomaly of reservoir earthquake, nonlinear grey system, and foreshock sequence regression etc are considered as those of having a future on the prediction of mainshock origin time.
Keywords:Reservoir induced earthquake  Origin time  Prediction method
本文献已被 CNKI 维普 等数据库收录!
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号