| 地震活动的灰色预测和地震前兆的灰色判别 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 张绍治.地震活动的灰色预测和地震前兆的灰色判别[J].华南地震,1991,11(3):56-64. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 张绍治 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 江苏省地震局 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 本文运用灰色系统理论和方法，对地震活动进行灰色预测，表明河北诏山7.8级强震和江苏常熟5.1级中强震建模预测效果良好，对地震前兆数据作新息模型和等维新息模型的异常判别，以及包络模型判别、拓扑模型群判别，可以鉴别出地震前兆异常，实为地震前兆分析的一种新方法。
|
| 关 键 词： | 地震灰色预测 地震前兆灰色判别 等维新息模型 包络模型 拓扑 模型群 成因机制 |
GREY PREDICTON OF SEISMICITY AND GREY JUDGEMENT OF SEISMIC PRECURSOR |
| |
| Zhang Shaozi.GREY PREDICTON OF SEISMICITY AND GREY JUDGEMENT OF SEISMIC PRECURSOR[J].South China Journal of Seismology,1991,11(3):56-64. |
| |
| Authors: | Zhang Shaozi |
| |
| Institution: | Seismological Bureau of Jiangsu Province |
| |
| Abstract: | In this paper, seismicity is predicted by the theory and the method of grey System. The result displays well effect of grey pattern of Tangshan earthquake ( Ms = 7.8 ) and Jingsu Changshu earthquake (Ms=5.1). The data of seismic precursor is differentiated by new message pattern, equidimensional new message patter, envelope pattern, lopological pattern swarm. This method can differentiate the anomalism of seismic precursor, which is a real new method for analysing seismic precursor. |
| |
| Keywords: | Grey prediction of seismicity Grey judgement of seismic precursor New message pattern Equidimensional new message pattern Envelope pattern Lopological pattern swarm |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 等数据库收录！ |
