Institution: | aGrupo de Pesquisas em Recifes de Corais e Mudanças Globais, Universidade Federal da Bahia (UFBA), Rua Caetano Moura 123, 40210-340 Salvador, BA, Brazil bConservation International Brazil, Marine Program, Rua das Palmeiras 451, 45900-000 Caravelas, BA, Brazil cInstituto de Biologia, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro (UFRJ), Ilha do Fundão, Caixa Postal 68011, CEP 21944-970 Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil dBoston University Marine Program, 5 Cummington Street Boston, MA 02215, USA |
Abstract: | Although reef corals worldwide have sustained epizootics in recent years, no coral diseases have been observed in the southwestern Atlantic Ocean until now. Here we present an overview of the main types of diseases and their incidence in the largest and richest coral reefs in the South Atlantic (Abrolhos Bank, eastern Brazil). Qualitative observations since the 1980s and regular monitoring since 2001 indicate that coral diseases intensified only recently (2005–2007). Based on estimates of disease prevalence and progression rate, as well as on the growth rate of a major reef-building coral species (the Brazilian-endemic Mussismilia braziliensis), we predict that eastern Brazilian reefs will suffer a massive coral cover decline in the next 50 years, and that M. braziliensis will be nearly extinct in less than a century if the current rate of mortality due to disease is not reversed. |