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利用概率密度分布提取地下流体数字化观测资料中的高频异常信息以2014年鲁甸6.5级地震为例
引用本文:王喜龙,贾晓东,王博,王熠熙,王俊,向阳,靳浩,付聪.利用概率密度分布提取地下流体数字化观测资料中的高频异常信息以2014年鲁甸6.5级地震为例[J].地震,2018,38(1):35-48.
作者姓名:王喜龙  贾晓东  王博  王熠熙  王俊  向阳  靳浩  付聪
作者单位:1.辽宁省地震局, 辽宁 沈阳 110034;
2.中国地震台网中心, 北京 100045;
3.安徽省地震局, 安徽 合肥 230031;
4.天津市地震局, 天津 300201;
5.新疆维吾尔自治区地震局, 新疆 乌鲁木齐 830001;
6. 青海省地质调查局, 青海 西宁 810001
基金项目:中国地震局地震科技星火计划(XH16006Y, XH15011); 中国地震局地震监测预报经常性项目(17C07ZX022, 17C072X020)
摘    要:中国地震地下流体观测经过数字化改造以后, 观测资料的采样频率显著提高。 流体观测资料中的高频数据含有丰富构造信息, 为我们捕捉地震孕育及发生过程中的前兆异常信息提供了有利条件。 但是, 高频信息的出现激发了对数据分析方法改变的需求, 如何研发与数字化高频观测资料相匹配的数据处理和异常识别方法, 从高频观测数据中挖掘潜在的前兆异常信息, 成为目前地震地下研究者首要需解决的关键问题。 应用概率密度分布法对2014年鲁甸6.5级地震前南北地震带174组水位、 水温分钟值高频观测数据进行分析, 结果显示: 鲁甸6.5级地震前共有10个水位测点和7个水温测点出现高频信息异常, 异常多集中在滇西南构造带的滇中次级块体两侧, 且随着时间推移, 有向震中区逼近的变化特征。 通过对震源区及附近地区地壳结构、 构造应力作用及更大范围的区域动力演化特征进行分析, 发现异常信息的空间分布特征与川滇地区地壳运动场具有很好的一致性, 说明概率密度分布可有效反映出区域构造应力作用, 同时也验证了利用概率密度分布在流体观测数据的高频信息异常提取方面具有一定可靠性。

关 键 词:地震地下流体    数字化观测    高频信息    概率密度分布    2014年鲁甸6.5级地震  
收稿时间:2017-01-23

Extracting High-frequency Anomaly from Digital Underground Fluid Data: A Case Study of the 2014 Ludian MS6.5 Earthquake
WANG Xi-long,JIA Xiao-dong,WANG Bo,WANG Yi-xi,WANG Jun,XIANG Yang,JIN Hao,FU Cong.Extracting High-frequency Anomaly from Digital Underground Fluid Data: A Case Study of the 2014 Ludian MS6.5 Earthquake[J].Earthquake,2018,38(1):35-48.
Authors:WANG Xi-long  JIA Xiao-dong  WANG Bo  WANG Yi-xi  WANG Jun  XIANG Yang  JIN Hao  FU Cong
Institution:1.Earthquake Administration of Liaoning Province, Shenyang 110034, China;
2.China Earthquake Networks Center,Beijing 100045, China;
3.Earthquake Administration of Tianjin Municipal City, Tianjin 300201, China;
4.Earthquake Administration of Anhui Province, Hefei 230031, China;
5.Earthquake Administration of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Urmuqi 830002, China;
6.Qinghai Bureau of Geological Survey, Qinghai Xining 810001, China
Abstract:The sampling frequency of data has been obviously improved after the digital transformation for the seismic subsurface fluids observation in China. And there is a great deal of tectonic information in high frequency observational data, creating favorable conditions for us to catch the precursory information in earthquake nucleation and occurrence process. How to develop data processing and anomaly recognition method matching with the digital high frequency observation data for extracting useful abnormal information become a key issue. We introduced the PDF (probability density distribution) method to analyzed fluid observation data of water level and water temperature at 174 stations in the area of the North-South Seismic Zone before the Ludian MS6.5 earthquake on August 3, 2014. The analysis results show that 10 water level and 7 water temperature data had the high frequency anomalies before the earthquake, and the points of abnormal information were concentrated in the tectonic belts of the central Yunnan sub-block in the southwest. The high-frequency anomalies migrated to the epicenter over time. Based on the analysis of crustal structure and tectonic stress near the earthquake epicenter, as well as the dynamic evolution in a larger area in this region, we found that the spatial distribution of abnormal information had a good consistency with the crustal deformation of the Sichuan-Yunnan region. This result not only shows that the PDF can effectively reflect the regional tectonic stress field, but also has certain reliability and applicability to extract high-frequency anomaly information from fluid observation data.
Keywords:Undergound fluids  Earthquake precursor  Probability density distribution  The 2016 Ludian MS6  5 earthquake  
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