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小浪底水库诱发地震的危险性分析
引用本文:王世昌,刘耀炜,张培华.小浪底水库诱发地震的危险性分析[J].地震地磁观测与研究,2006,27(2):9-15.
作者姓名:王世昌  刘耀炜  张培华
作者单位:1. 中国,河南,471023,洛阳地震台
2. 中国,北京,100029,中国地震局地质研究所
3. 中国,河南,471000,洛阳市地震局
摘    要:分析了小浪底库区的地质构造背景,论证了小浪底水库具有诱发地震的可能性(P= 0.499),得出最大诱发震级Ms为5.5级,洛阳潜在震源区震级上限为6.5级。分析了库区周围的历史地震、1970年以来的微震活动和能量释放规律,认为未来2年内,小浪底库区诱发中强地震的可能性较小。

关 键 词:小浪底水库  诱发地震  可能性  最大震级
文章编号:1003-3246(2006)02-0009-07
收稿时间:2005-08-26
修稿时间:2005-08-26

The dangerous analyze of induced earthquake of Xiaolangdi reservoir
Wang Shichang,Liu Yaowei,Zhang Peihua.The dangerous analyze of induced earthquake of Xiaolangdi reservoir[J].Seismological and Geomagnetic Observation and Research,2006,27(2):9-15.
Authors:Wang Shichang  Liu Yaowei  Zhang Peihua
Institution:1.Luoyang Seismic Station, Henan Province 471023, China ;2.Insitute of Geology, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing 100029, China;3.Earthquake Administration of Luoyang City, Henan Province 471000, China
Abstract:In the paper, the geology structure of Xiaolangdi reservoir was analyzed. It was demonstrated that the reservoir has probability of induced earthquake (P=0. 499). The maximum magnitude obtained is 5.5. The maximum magnitude of Luoyang latent focal area is 6.5. The history earthquake around the reservoir, small earthquake activity and the law of energy releaed after 1970 were analyzed. We believe that the probability of induced middle and strong earthquake around the reservoir area within 2 years is little.
Keywords:Xiaolangdi reservoir  induced earthquake  probability  the maximum magnitude
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