| 基于可公度方法的云南地区地震数据分析与预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 谭锴.基于可公度方法的云南地区地震数据分析与预测[J].地震地磁观测与研究,2009,30(6):12-16. |
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| 作者姓名： | 谭锴 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国金华,321004,浙江师范大学数理信息学院 |
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| 摘 要： | 基于可公度的方法，对云南地区（22°～29°N，98°～104°E）从1800到2007年间发生的震级在6．7级以上的地震数据进行了分析与预测。在证实该数据具有较强的可公度性的基础上，预测云南地区近期的地震发生时间，获得了较好的结果。因此，将该方法用于地震，水文等数据的处理，对防灾减灾是非常有意义的。
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| 关 键 词： | 预测 可公度性 地震 云南地区 |
Data analyzing and forecasting of earthquake in Yunnan region based on commensurability |
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| Tan Kai.Data analyzing and forecasting of earthquake in Yunnan region based on commensurability[J].Seismological and Geomagnetic Observation and Research,2009,30(6):12-16. |
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| Authors: | Tan Kai |
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| Institution: | Tan Kai (The college of Mathematics, Physics and Information Engineering, Zhejiang Normal University, Jinhua 321004, China) |
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| Abstract: | Base on the method of commensurability, the data of earthquake that happened during 1800 and 2007 in Yunnan region （22 degrees and 29 degrees north, 98 degrees and 104 degrees east） and the magnitude over 6.7 are analyzed and forecasted in this paper. After showing that the data has strong commensurability, we obtain a good result when forecasting the time of recent earthquake in Yunnan region. As a result, it makes sense that this method can be applied to processing the data of earthquake and hydrologic for disaster prevention and reduction. |
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| Keywords: | forecast commensurability earthquake Yunnan region |
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