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吉林省敦化市乡村人群气候变化感知的偏差及群体分异研究
引用本文:田青,姚冬萍,苏桂武,刘健,谢今范.吉林省敦化市乡村人群气候变化感知的偏差及群体分异研究[J].气候变化研究进展,2011,7(3):217-223.
作者姓名:田青  姚冬萍  苏桂武  刘健  谢今范
作者单位:1. 北京师范大学;2. ;3. 中国地震局地质所;4. 北京师范大学环境教育中心;5. 吉林省气候中心;
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(40971274;40501026)
摘    要:通过问卷调查,具体分析了吉林省敦化市乡村人群对气候变化趋势和极端冷暖年的感知偏差及人群分异.发现乡村人群对气候变化趋势的感知与科学事实比较符合,由于对变暖转折年代更敏感,因而对变暖的确认度在一些时段与科学事实在变化程度或幅度上存在比较大的偏差.乡村人群对极端冷暖年不如对趋势感知的准确度高.经验积累影响乡村人群对气候变化...

关 键 词:气候变化感知  乡村人群  人群分异  气候变化趋势  极端冷暖年  感知偏差

Rural People's Perception Deviation on Climate Change and Population's Differences in Dunhua City, Jilin Province
Tian Qing,Yao Dongping,Su Guiwu,Liu Jian,Xie Jinfan.Rural People's Perception Deviation on Climate Change and Population's Differences in Dunhua City, Jilin Province[J].Advances in Climate Change,2011,7(3):217-223.
Authors:Tian Qing  Yao Dongping  Su Guiwu  Liu Jian  Xie Jinfan
Institution:Tian Qing1,Yao Dongping1,Su Guiwu2,Liu Jian1,Xie Jinfan3 (1 Environmental Education Center,Beijing Normal University,Beijing 100875,China,2 Institute of Geology,China Earthquake Administration,Beijing 100029,3 Meteorological Bureau of Jilin Province,Changchun 130062,China)
Abstract:This research investigated the perception deviation and population differences on climate trend as well as extreme cold /warm years through questionnaire survey among rural populations in Dunhua City, Jilin Province. The results indicate that the rural people's perception on climate trend agrees well with scientific measurements. Higher sensitivity to the transitional year of warming leads to greater deviation on the confirmation in warming years at some time intervals. The perception of climate trend is mo...
Keywords:perception to climate change  rural people  population difference  climate trend  extreme cold/warm years  perception deviation  
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