| IPCC AR6报告解读：极端天气气候事件变化 |
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| 引用本文： | 周波涛,钱进.IPCC AR6报告解读：极端天气气候事件变化[J].气候变化研究进展,2021,17(6):713-718. |
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| 作者姓名： | 周波涛 钱进 |
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| 作者单位： | 南京信息工程大学气象灾害预报预警与评估协同创新中心/气象灾害教育部重点实验室/气候与环境变化国际合作联合实验室/大气科学学院,南京 210044 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家重点研发计划(2018YFA0606301);国家自然科学基金(419912852) |
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| 摘 要： | 与IPCC第五次评估报告（AR5）相比,在第六次评估报告（AR6）评估中,观测的极端天气气候事件变化证据,特别是归因于人为影响的证据加强。人类活动造成的气候变化已影响到全球每个区域的许多极端天气气候事件。随着未来全球变暖进一步加剧,预估极端热事件、强降水、农业生态干旱的强度和频次以及强台风（飓风）比例等将增加,越罕见的极端天气气候事件,其发生频率的增长百分比越大。这些结论再次凸显了应对气候变化和极端天气气候事件的必要性和紧迫性。
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| 关 键 词： | 极端天气气候 归因 预估 IPCC AR6 |
| 收稿时间： | 2021-08-18 |
| 修稿时间： | 2021-09-27 |
Changes of weather and climate extremes in the IPCC AR6 |
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| ZHOU Bo-Tao,QIAN Jin.Changes of weather and climate extremes in the IPCC AR6[J].Advances in Climate Change,2021,17(6):713-718. |
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| Authors: | ZHOU Bo-Tao QIAN Jin |
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| Institution: | Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters/Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster, Ministry of Education/Joint International Research Laboratory of Climate and Environment Change/School of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, China |
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| Abstract: | Compared to the IPCC AR5, in the AR6, evidence of observed changes in weather and climate extremes and their attribution to human influence have been strengthened. Human-induced climate change has been affecting many weather and climate extremes worldwide. With further global warming, the frequency and intensity of hot extremes, heavy precipitation, agricultural and ecological droughts in some regions, and the proportion of intense typhoon (hurricane) are projected to increase. Projected percentage changes are larger for the frequency of rarer events. These findings again raise the necessity and urgency to address climate change as well as weather and climate extremes. |
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| Keywords: | Weather and climate extremes Attribution Projection IPCC AR6 |
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