| 城镇化模式与低碳发展的关联分析——以石家庄市为例 |
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| 引用本文： | 曹颖,郑晓奇,刘强.城镇化模式与低碳发展的关联分析——以石家庄市为例[J].气候变化研究进展,2020,16(2):223-231. |
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| 作者姓名： | 曹颖 郑晓奇 刘强 |
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| 作者单位： | 国家应对气候变化战略研究和国际合作中心,北京,100038 |
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| 基金项目： | 能源基金会资助项目“中国城镇化低碳发展的关联分析及对策研究”。 |
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| 摘 要： | 不同城镇化发展模式对城市碳排放有显著影响。以石家庄市为案例,基于历年统计数据及实地调研数据,采用情景分析方法,定量核算石家庄市不同城镇化模式下的碳排放,结果表明在不同的城镇化模式下,石家庄市能源消费和碳排放将存在显著差异。与延续目前相对高碳的城镇化模式相比,在低碳城镇化模式下,2015—2030年,在城镇化率同样提升18.7%的情景下,碳排放的年均增速将由4.3%下降至0.4%,碳减排效果非常显著。
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| 关 键 词： | 城镇化模式 低碳发展 碳排放 关联 |
| 收稿时间： | 2019-04-12 |
| 修稿时间： | 2019-08-26 |
The correlation analysis between urbanization mode and low carbon development--taking Shijiazhuang as an example |
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| CAO Ying,ZHENG Xiao-Qi,LIU Qiang.The correlation analysis between urbanization mode and low carbon development--taking Shijiazhuang as an example[J].Advances in Climate Change,2020,16(2):223-231. |
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| Authors: | CAO Ying ZHENG Xiao-Qi LIU Qiang |
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| Institution: | National Center for Climate Change Strategy and International Cooperation, Beijing 100038, China |
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| Abstract: | Different urbanization development modes have significant impacts on urban carbon emissions. Taking Shijiazhuang city as an example, based on the statistical data over the years and the field research data, the scenario analysis method was used to quantitatively calculate the carbon emissions under different urbanization modes. The results show that under different urbanization modes, Shijiazhuang energy consumption and carbon emissions will exist significant difference. Under the low-carbon urbanization mode, the urbanization rate will also increase by 18.7% from 2015 to 2030, but the average annual growth rate of carbon emissions will fall from 4.3% to 0.4% compared with the current relatively high-carbon urbanization mode, and the carbon emission reductions effect is very significant. |
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| Keywords: | Urbanization mode Low-carbon development Carbon emissions Correlation |
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