AN EXPERIMENT WITH THE CONSENSUS FORECAST OF TYPHOON TRACK |
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| Authors: | Li Jianyun Ding Yuguo and Shi Jiu'en |
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| Institution: | Beijing Aeronautical Meteorological Institute, Beijing 100085;Nanjing Institute of Meteorology, Nanjing 210044;Beijing Institute of Meteorology, Beijing 100081 |
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| Abstract: | Obvious results have been achieved in the forecast of typhoon track that is improved with a consensus procedure Forecast experiments were conducted with the analogue model (TSF) and the Markov type model (MTSF)that are widely used and the results show that there has been significant increase in the capability of forecasting with the improvement by the consensus procedure. |
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| Keywords: | typhoon consensus forecast El Nino typhoon track |
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