INTENSITY INDEX OF SOUTH CHINA SEA MONSOON AND ITS VARIATION CHARACTERISTICS |
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| Authors: | WU Shang-sen and LIANG Jian-yin |
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| Institution: | Guangzhou Institute of Tropical and Oceanic Meteorology |
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| Abstract: | The region of south China is sometimes subject to major climatic catastrophes in winter. To have
a clear understanding, the time in which extremely severe cold months occur in the south China wintertime over
the past 45 years are determined and characteristics of the 500-hPa geopotential fields and SST fields are studied
for the simultaneous and preceding 6-month periods. Similarity exists in the 500-hPa geopotential fields
between each current severely cold month, with the geopotential pattern of being high in the north, but low in
the south, of Asian-Pacific region and meridional circulation developing. The work presents anomalies of the
months with significant differences in the 500-hPa geopotential field of the previous periods. The SSTA is continuous in the distribution from each extremely severe cold winter month back to the 6 months leading up to it
for the region of south China while the SST pattern is of El Ni?o in January and the preceding 1 ~ 6 months for
equatorial eastern Pacific but of La Ni?a in February and December. It is concluded that the prediction of severely
cold winter months are possible with the use of the geopotential field at 500 hPa and the SST fields for
the months ahead of the target time. |
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| Keywords: | extremely severe cold months in south China winter 500-hPa geopotential field SST field characteristics |
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