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THE STRONG DRAGON BOAT RACE PRECIPITATION OF GUANGDONG IN 2008 AND QUASI-10-DAY OSCILLATION
作者姓名:谷德军  张维
作者单位:Guangzhou Institute of Tropical and Marine Meteorology/Key Open Laboratory for Tropical Monsoon, China Meteorological Administration, Guangzhou 510080 China;Guangzhou Central Weather Observatory, Guangzhou 510080 China
基金项目:Specialized Research Project of Novel Meteorological Technologies for Forecasters from China Meteorological Administration (CMATG2007Y04); Science Bureau of Guangdong (2006B37202004); Guangdong Meteorological Bureau (2008A02); Specialized Project for Industries for Public Well-eing (Meteorological Sector) (GYHY201006018)
摘    要:Guangdong suffered from the most serious precipitation of its corresponding time during the dragon-boat race of 2008 since 1951.The relationship between the strong dragon-boat precipitation in 2008 and atmospheric low-frequency oscillation was analyzed with the methods of wavelet analysis,correlation and Lanczos filter.Results showed that the daily rainfall exhibits a significant 7 to 12-day quasi-periodic oscillation(namely quasi-10-day oscillation) during the precipitation,the daily 500 hPa height over Guangdong exhibits a significant 8 to 13-day quasi-periodic oscillation,and the daily 850 hPa zonal wind averaged over the north of the South China Sea presents a significant quasi-12-day periodic oscillation.The Guangdong rainfall during the annually first rainy season is most closely correlated with monsoon over the north of South China Sea,and less closely with an upper-level trough at 500 hPa affecting Guangdong.Strong monsoon surges induced two heavy rainfall processes in 2008.The monsoon surges joined with a westward-propagating quasi-10-day oscillation that originated from the central Pacific and was enhanced in a strong convective region east of the Philippines and a northward-propagating monsoon that originated from the southern South China Sea was enhanced.With composite analysis of typical phases,the common evolution characteristics of atmospheric circulation of the two heavy rainfall processes were analyzed for different phases.These features can be used as reference for medium prediction of heavy rainfall processes in Guangdong.

关 键 词:dragon-boat  festival  precipitation  upper-level  trough  at  500  hPa  monsoon  over  the  north  of  South  China  Sea  low-frequency  oscillation
收稿时间:2011/2/25 0:00:00
修稿时间:2012/7/15 0:00:00

THE STRONG DRAGON BOAT RACE PRECIPITATION OF GUANGDONG IN 2008 AND QUASI-10-DAY OSCILLATION
GU De-jun and ZHANG Wei.THE STRONG DRAGON BOAT RACE PRECIPITATION OF GUANGDONG IN 2008 AND QUASI-10-DAY OSCILLATION[J].Journal of Tropical Meteorology,2012,18(3):349-359.
Authors:GU De-jun and ZHANG Wei
Institution:Guangzhou Institute of Tropical and Marine Meteorology/Key Open Laboratory for Tropical Monsoon, China Meteorological Administration, Guangzhou 510080 China;Guangzhou Central Weather Observatory, Guangzhou 510080 China
Abstract:Guangdong suffered from the most serious precipitation of its corresponding time during the dragon-boat race of 2008 since 1951. The relationship between the strong dragon-boat precipitation in 2008 and atmospheric low-frequency oscillation was analyzed with the methods of wavelet analysis, correlation and Lanczos filter. Results showed that the daily rainfall exhibits a significant 7 to 12-day quasi-periodic oscillation (namely quasi-10-day oscillation) during the precipitation, the daily 500 hPa height over Guangdong exhibits a significant 8 to 13-day quasi-periodic oscillation, and the daily 850 hPa zonal wind averaged over the north of the South China Sea presents a significant quasi-12-day periodic oscillation. The Guangdong rainfall during the annually first rainy season is most closely correlated with monsoon over the north of South China Sea, and less closely with an upper-level trough at 500 hPa affecting Guangdong. Strong monsoon surges induced two heavy rainfall processes in 2008. The monsoon surges joined with a westward-propagating quasi-10-day oscillation that originated from the central Pacific and was enhanced in a strong convective region east of the Philippines and a northward-propagating monsoon that originated from the southern South China Sea was enhanced. With composite analysis of typical phases, the common evolution characteristics of atmospheric circulation of the two heavy rainfall processes were analyzed for different phases. These features can be used as reference for medium prediction of heavy rainfall processes in Guangdong.
Keywords:dragon-boat festival precipitation  upper-level trough at 500 hPa  monsoon over the north of South China Sea  low-frequency oscillation
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