| INTERCOMPARISON OF THE INTERDECADAL VARIATIONS OF SUMMER PRECIPITATION IN CHINA SIMULATED BY AOGCMS FROM THE IPCC-DDC |
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| 作者姓名： | 鲍 名 黄荣辉 |
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| 作者单位： | Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences;Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences |
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| 基金项目： | Major Research Program for Global Change and Regional Response, National Natural Science Foundation of China (40231005); Program for Knowledge Innovation Project, Chinese Academy of Science (KZCX3-SW-218) |
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| 摘 要： | Simulations of the interdecadal variations of summer rainfall over China are assessed from 5
coupled AOGCMs from the Data Distribution Center (DDC) of the Intergovernmental Panel in Climate Change
(IPCC) under the IPCC-Special Report in Emission Scenarios (SRES) A2 and B2 scenario. We examined their
ability in simulating the interdecadal variations of summer precipitation over China from 1951 to 1990. The
difference before and after the mid-1960’s and the late 1970’s is given respectively to check the capability of the
models, especially in reproducing the rainfall jump in North China. We also investigated the interdecadal
variations simulated by the models in the 1990’s and the average of 2001-2020 in the future under the scenario
A2 and B2. The analysis shows that the current AOGCMs is not good enough in simulating the interdecadal
variations of summer precipitation in China. The interdecadal variations of summer rainfall simulated by most of
the models cannot reproduce the observation in North China. Higher resolution models are suggested to well
simulate the interdecadal variability in regional scale.
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| 关 键 词： | interdecadal variations summer precipitation in China coupled atmosphere-ocean models |
INTERCOMPARISON OF THE INTERDECADAL VARIATIONS OF SUMMER PRECIPITATION IN CHINA SIMULATED BY AOGCMS FROM THE IPCC-DDC |
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| BAO Ming and HUANG Rong-hui.INTERCOMPARISON OF THE INTERDECADAL VARIATIONS OF SUMMER PRECIPITATION IN CHINA SIMULATED BY AOGCMS FROM THE IPCC-DDC[J].Journal of Tropical Meteorology,2005,11(1):10-22. |
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| Authors: | BAO Ming and HUANG Rong-hui |
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| Institution: | Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029 China |
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| Abstract: | Simulations of the interdecadal variations of summer rainfall over China are assessed from 5 coupled AOGCMs from the Data Distribution Center (DDC) of the Intergovernmental Panel in Climate Change (IPCC) under the IPCC-Special Report in Emission Scenarios (SRES) A2 and B2 scenario. We examined their ability in simulating the interdecadal variations of summer precipitation over China from 1951 to 1990. The difference before and after the mid-1960's and the late 1970's is given respectively to check the capability of the models, especially in reproducing the rainfall jump in North China. We also investigated the interdecadal variations simulated by the models in the 1990's and the average of 2001-2020 in the future under the scenario A2 and B2. The analysis shows that the current AOGCMs is not good enough in simulating the interdecadal variations of summer precipitation in China. The interdecadal variations of summer rainfall simulated by most of the models cannot reproduce the observation in North China. Higher resolution models are suggested to well simulate the interdecadal variability in regional scale. |
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| Keywords: | interdecadal variations summer precipitation in China coupled atmosphere-ocean models |
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