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1961—2006年内蒙古年平均气温突变分析
引用本文:尤莉,戴新刚,邱海涛.1961—2006年内蒙古年平均气温突变分析[J].内蒙古气象,2010(2):3-5.
作者姓名:尤莉  戴新刚  邱海涛
作者单位:1. 内蒙古气候中心,内蒙古,呼和浩特010051;中国科学院东亚区域气候环境重点试验室大气物理所,北京,100029
2. 中国科学院东亚区域气候环境重点试验室大气物理所,北京,100029
3. 内蒙古大气探测技术保障中心,内蒙古,呼和浩特010051
基金项目:中国科学院东亚区域气候环境重点试验室开放课题,国家自然科学基金,北京区域气象中心科技创新基金项目BRMCCX200609共同资助 
摘    要:利用内蒙古70个气象站1961—2006年年平均气温资料,分析了近46年来内蒙古气温变化趋势。采用滑动t检验、Mann-Kendall和累积距平曲线3种检验方法对全区年平均气温进行检验分析,揭示了在50年时间尺度上,内蒙古气温存在明显的增暖突变的事实,突变点在1987年。并指出:气温突变后内蒙古气候显著变暖,与突变前相比有明显差异。

关 键 词:内蒙古  气温  突变检验

Analysis on Annual Mean Temperature Abrupt Change of Inner Mongolia during 1961-2006
Authors:You Li  Dai Xingang  Qiu Haitao
Institution:1.Inner Mongolia Climate Centre,Hohhot 010051;2.Key Laboratory of Regional Climate-Environment for Temperate East Asia Chinese Academy of Sciences,Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Beijing 100029;3.Inner Mongolia Atmospheric Sounding Technology Support Center,Hohhot 010051)
Abstract:Based on the annual mean temperature data of 70 meteorological stations in Inner Mongolia from 1961 to 2006,the trend of temperature change was analyzed in recent 46 years.The test analysis were conducted on annual mean temperature of whole area with the three methods of Moving t-test technique,Mann-Kendall methods and accumulated departure.It showed that: on the timescale of 50 years,there was an obvious truth of warming and abrupt change on the temperature of Inner Mongolia,abrupt change point was 1987.After the abrupt change of temperature,the climate of Inner Mongolia was warming obviously,compared with abrupt change before,there was obvious difference.
Keywords:Inner Mongolia  temperature  abrupt change test
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