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基于灰色关联分析法的城市火灾与气象条件关系分析
引用本文:谷新波,司瑶冰,刘秀荣.基于灰色关联分析法的城市火灾与气象条件关系分析[J].内蒙古气象,2012(2):38-40.
作者姓名:谷新波  司瑶冰  刘秀荣
作者单位:1. 内蒙古气象服务中心,内蒙古呼和浩特,010051
2. 内蒙古气象信息中心,内蒙古呼和浩特,010051
摘    要:文章用灰色关联分析方法对呼和浩特市1999—2009年的月气象资料和同期火灾资料进行了分析,得到月平均温度、月平均相对湿度、月总降水量、月无降水日数、月平均风速与月火灾次数的关联度及其强弱顺序,其中月平均风速关联度为0.657,在强弱顺序中排在第一位,其次分别为月无降水日数和月平均温度。为进一步研究城市火灾受气象条件的影响和建立城市火险潜势预报模型提供基础依据。

关 键 词:灰色关联分析  城市火灾  灰色关联度  气象条件

Analysis on Relationship of City Fire and Meteorological Conditions by the Gray Relevance Analysis Method
Authors:Gu Xinbo  Si Yaobing  Liu Xiu rong
Institution:1.Inner Mongolia Meteorology Service Center,Inner Mongolia Huhhot 010051;2.Inner Mongolia Meteorological Information Center,Inner Mongolia Huhhot 010051)
Abstract:This article utilizes the gray relational analysis to analyze the relations of the lunar meteorological data for 11 years and the city fire data on the same date in Hohhot.We acquire the correlation which is the counts of the monthly city fire and the average monthly temperature,the average monthly relative humidity,the monthly precipitation,the average monthly wind speed and the num ber of days without precipitation.In which,correlation degree about the average monthly wind speed is 0.657,it ranks firstly in order of strength and the posterior elements is the number of days without precipitation and the average monthly temperature.This article provides the basis for the further study on the city fire under the influence of meteorological conditions and establishing city fire po tential forecasting models.
Keywords:gray relevence analysis  city fire  gray relational grade
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