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云南滑坡泥石流灾害精细化气象预警系统
引用本文:彭贵芬,段旭,张杰,朱天禄.云南滑坡泥石流灾害精细化气象预警系统[J].气象科技,2008,36(5):627-630.
作者姓名:彭贵芬  段旭  张杰  朱天禄
作者单位:1. 云南省气象台
2. 云南省气象科学研究所
3. 云南省气象局科技减灾处,昆明,650034
基金项目:云南省科技攻关计划,高新技术计划项目
摘    要:通过开展低纬高原地区MM5 V3不同参数化方案降水模拟试验,建立了基于SGI O350小型机的MM5中尺度数值模式业务系统.使降水预报输出产品时间分辨率小于等于60 min、水平距离分辨率小于等于10 km;对雷达、卫星降水反演资料与气象站及加密雨量站的实测资料用权重法集成为精细化实况降水场;基于滑坡泥石流灾害发生的天气气候背景和不同地质地貌条件下滑坡泥石流与降水的关系研究,采用PP-ES模式,建立了以时间分辨率为12 h、水平距离分辨率为30 km的滑坡泥石流灾害气象等级预报产品为主要内容的云南省精细化滑坡泥石流灾害气象监测预警系统.

关 键 词:遥感  反演  订正  精细化  滑坡  泥石流  气象预警
收稿时间:6/1/2007 12:00:00 AM
修稿时间:2007/12/10 0:00:00

Refined Weather-Based Warning System of Debris Flow Disasters for Yunnan Province
Peng Guifeng,Duan Xiu,Zhang Jie and Zhu Tianlu.Refined Weather-Based Warning System of Debris Flow Disasters for Yunnan Province[J].Meteorological Science and Technology,2008,36(5):627-630.
Authors:Peng Guifeng  Duan Xiu  Zhang Jie and Zhu Tianlu
Institution:Yunnan Meteorological Office;Yunnan Institute of Meteorology;Yunnan Meteorological Office;Yunnan Meteorological Bureau, Kunming 650034
Abstract:Through the precipitation simulation experiments using MM5 V3 with various parameters for the low latitude plateau area, the operational system of the MM5 meso scale numerical prediction model is established based on the SGI O350 minicomputer. Its precipitation prediction has a time resolution of less than 60 minutes and a horizontal resolution of less than 10 km. By integrating the radar, retrieved satellite data, conventional meteorological data, and intensive rainfall observation data with the weighting method, a refined rainfall field was generated. Based on the relation between weather background and Landslide/debris flow disasters, the refined weather based monitoring and warning system of debris flow disasters for Yunnan Province is established with the PP ES model, which has a time resolution of 12 hours and a horizontal resolution of 30 km, and can provide the weather based graded prediction products of Landslide/debris flow disasters
Keywords:MM5
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