|
|||||
|
|
| 中尺度层状云系数值预报系统及其业务化应用试验 | |
| 引用本文： | 周毓荃,包绍武,黄毅梅,郝建平.中尺度层状云系数值预报系统及其业务化应用试验[J].南京气象学院学报,2002,25(6):731-739. |
| 作者姓名： | 周毓荃 包绍武 黄毅梅 郝建平 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 南京气象学院,大气科学系,江苏,南京,210044 2. 中国气象科学研究院,北京,100081 3. 河南省气象局,人工影响天气中心,河南,郑州,450003 |
| 基金项目： | 国家“九五”攻关项目 (96-0 2 0 -0 1 -0 5 )，国家“十五”攻关项目 (2 0 0 1 BA61 0 -0 6)，河南“九五”重大攻关项目 (97-1 1 -90 42 1 ) |
| 摘 要： | 研制了中尺度静力平衡层状云系数值模式；针对人工影响天气业务特点，开发了模式预处理、后处理和产品服务系统；初步建立了一套可在业务中实时运行的中尺度层状云系数值预报业务系统。经过两年多的业务运行试验，结果表明：系统运行稳定，功能实用，对降水场和云场具有一定的预报能力；对小、中雨量级的稳定性降水预报准确率较高；模拟的云场同卫星、雷达实测云系有较好的一致性。可为人工影响天气作业决策及降水预报等实时业务提供帮助。 |
| 关 键 词： | 中尺度层状云模式 数值预报系统 人工影响天气 降水场 云场 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-2022(2002)06-0731-09 |
| 修稿时间： | 2002年4月1日 |
A Mesoscale Stratiform Cloud Numerical Forecast System and Its Operational Application |
|
| ZHOU Yu quan ,BAO Shao wu ,HUANG Yi mei ,HAO Jian ping.A Mesoscale Stratiform Cloud Numerical Forecast System and Its Operational Application[J].Journal of Nanjing Institute of Meteorology,2002,25(6):731-739. | |
| Authors: | ZHOU Yu quan BAO Shao wu HUANG Yi mei HAO Jian ping |
| Institution: | ZHOU Yu quan 1,BAO Shao wu 2,HUANG Yi mei 3,HAO Jian ping 3 |
| Abstract: | Aiming at the character of weather modification,a real time numerical forecast operational system of mesoscale equilibrium stratiform cloud,which consists of data preprocessing,forecast model,output pastprocessing and model product serving and testing subsystems,has been developed at the weather modification center of He'nan Province.The system has been worked in operation for more than two years.Results show that the system run stably,and has the considerable capability of forecasting precipitation and cloud.The forecast system has a higher forecast accuracy to the stable precipitation of light moderate rain quantity grade, and the forecasted cloud field has good uniformity with the actually observed cloud system by radar and satellite.So the system can provide much help to the decision making of weather modification and the real time rainfall forecast. |
| Keywords: | mesoscale stratiform cloud model numerical forecast system operational application |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ | |