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热带对流活动及其与ENSO关系的非线性特征
引用本文:沈桂凤,吴洪宝,韦莹莹,刘学华.热带对流活动及其与ENSO关系的非线性特征[J].南京气象学院学报,2008,31(2):183-191.
作者姓名:沈桂凤  吴洪宝  韦莹莹  刘学华
作者单位:1. 南京信息工程大学,大气科学学院,江苏,南京,210044
2. 金华市气象局,浙江,金华,321000
摘    要:用非线性主成分分析方法和NCAR/NCEP长波辐射资料(OLR),研究了热带对流异常及其与ENSO的关系。结果表明热带对流活动在时空上呈现出明显的非线性特征,它是热带对流活动对ENSO的非线性响应;热带对流异常的强度在E1 Nino时期比在La Nina时期强,且异常的中心位置偏东,表现出明显的时空上的不对称性。

关 键 词:非线性主成分分析  热带对流  OLR  ENSO
文章编号:1000-2022(2008)02-0183-09
修稿时间:2005年12月23

Nonlinear Characteristics of Relationship between Convective Activity over Tropics and ENSO
SHEN Gui-feng,WU Hong-bao,WEI Ying-ying,LIU Xue-hua.Nonlinear Characteristics of Relationship between Convective Activity over Tropics and ENSO[J].Journal of Nanjing Institute of Meteorology,2008,31(2):183-191.
Authors:SHEN Gui-feng  WU Hong-bao  WEI Ying-ying  LIU Xue-hua
Institution:SHEN Gui-feng, WU Hong-bao, WEI Ying-ying, LIU Xue-hua ( 1. School of Atmosopheric Sciences,NUIST,Naniing 210044 ,China;2. Jinhua Meteorological Bureau,Jinhua 321000,China)
Abstract:Based on the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data of OLR, Nonlinear Principal Component Analysis (NLPCA) are used to research the convective activity over the tropics and its relationship with ENSO. The results show that more nonlinear characteristics of time-space structer are found by using NLPCA than by linear analysis techniques. Such nonlinear characteristics may reflect the nonlinear relationship between tropical convective activities and ENSO. The intensity of OLR anomalies is stronger in the average E1 Nino period than in the average La Nina period. And the center of OLR anomalies in the averger in the average E1 Nino period tends to lie at a position east of that in the average La Nina period, thus showing the spatial asymmetry of OLR in the average warm and cold phases of ENSO.
Keywords:nonlinear principal component analysis  tropical convective  OLR  ENSO
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