| Monte-Carlo模拟方法在风工程中的应用 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 陶立英,严济远,徐家良.Monte-Carlo模拟方法在风工程中的应用[J].南京气象学院学报,2001(3). |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 陶立英 严济远 徐家良 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 上海市气候中心 上海200030
(陶立英，严济远)，上海市气候中心 上海200030(徐家良) |
| |
| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金重大项目 5 9895 41 0 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 用 Monte- Carlo模拟方法建立了上海的台风年最大风速概率分布 ,由此推算的 30 a、50 a一遇风速 (韦伯尔分布 )和实测风速值接近。表明由 Monte- Carlo模拟方法得到的台风年最大风速概率分布较为合理 ,在东南沿海台风多发区域 ,该方法是产生年最大风速概率分布的有力工具。
|
| 关 键 词： | Monte-Carlo模拟方法 台风年最大风速概率分布 统计推断 |
APPLICATION OF MONTE-CARLO SIMULATION METHOD IN WIND ENGINEERING |
| |
| TAO Li ying,YAN Ji yuan,XU Jia liang.APPLICATION OF MONTE-CARLO SIMULATION METHOD IN WIND ENGINEERING[J].Journal of Nanjing Institute of Meteorology,2001(3). |
| |
| Authors: | TAO Li ying YAN Ji yuan XU Jia liang |
| |
| Abstract: | The probability distribution of annual typhoon maximum wind speed in Shanghai is developed through the Monte Carlo simulation method.The 30 year and 50 year return period wind speed estimations are correspond to the observations.The results show that the annual probability distribution of typhoon maximum wind speed in Shanghai is reliable and the Monte Carlo method is a good tool for developing annual probability distribution of wind speed in coastlands where are prone to tropical cyclone each year. |
| |
| Keywords: | Monte Carlo simulation method annual probability distribution of typhoon maximum wind speed statistical estimation |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 等数据库收录！ |
