| 黄河“96.8”致洪暴雨过程和数值模式预报分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 张克家,周康军,刘萍,王庆斋,布亚林,邬虹霞.黄河“96.8”致洪暴雨过程和数值模式预报分析[J].南京气象学院学报,2001,24(4). |
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| 作者姓名： | 张克家 周康军 刘萍 王庆斋 布亚林 邬虹霞 |
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| 作者单位： | 黄河水利委员会 |
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| 基金项目： | 中国科学院大气物理研究所 L ASG开放课题资助 |
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| 摘 要： | 黄河“96.8”洪水是一次重要的强降水过程引起的。黄河流域地形复杂 ,而且降水时间分布极不均匀 ,预报难度较大。应用中国科学院大气物理研究所大气科学和地球流体力学数值模拟国家重点实验室 REM模式 (简称 LASGREM)对这次洪水暴雨过程进行了模拟预报。同时应用 L ASGREM的输出产品对该过程进行了分析。结果表明 ,该模式对黄河“96.8”致洪暴雨的模拟预报能力较强 ,适合于黄河水文气象业务预报。
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| 关 键 词： | 黄河 致洪暴雨 LASGREM 水文气象业务预报 |
PROCESS OF HEAVY RAIN "96.8" IN YELLOW RIVER AND NUMERICAL FORECAST ANALYSIS |
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| Zhang Kejia,Zhou Kangjun,Liu Ping,Wang Qingzhai,Bu Yalin,Wu Hongxia.PROCESS OF HEAVY RAIN "96.8" IN YELLOW RIVER AND NUMERICAL FORECAST ANALYSIS[J].Journal of Nanjing Institute of Meteorology,2001,24(4). |
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| Authors: | Zhang Kejia Zhou Kangjun Liu Ping Wang Qingzhai Bu Yalin Wu Hongxia |
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| Abstract: | In Yellow River "96.8"flood is formed by an heavy rainfall process. Because the terrain is complicated and the rainfall is varied in time in Yellow River basin,it is difficult to forecast. In this paper, a simulated forecast is done for the flood with LASG REM model and the rainfall process is analyzed with the output of the model.It is shown that the model has strong capacity for forecasting the heavy rain and is suitable for hydrometeorological forecast. |
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| Keywords: | Yellow River heavy rain caused flood LASGREM hydrometeorological forecast |
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