| 大数据环境中自愿接种策略及个体安全保护方法研究 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 丁宏,牛文芳,王震,任一支,吴铤.大数据环境中自愿接种策略及个体安全保护方法研究[J].南京气象学院学报,2017,9(5):521-526. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 丁宏 牛文芳 王震 任一支 吴铤 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 杭州电子科技大学 计算机学院, 杭州, 310018,杭州电子科技大学 计算机学院, 杭州, 310018,杭州电子科技大学 网络空间安全学院, 杭州, 310018,杭州电子科技大学 网络空间安全学院, 杭州, 310018,杭州电子科技大学 网络空间安全学院, 杭州, 310018 |
| |
| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金（61403059，8140 2760）；浙江省科技厅重点研发计划项目（2017C01062） |
| |
| 摘 要： | 大数据背景下，如何充分利用数据分析、挖掘等方法有效发现传染病传播规律，对于疾病防控、个体的安全保护有着重要作用和意义.自愿接种是对群体获得广泛免疫和安全保护的有效方式.以往的研究中，个体根据以往传播过程中的患病风险或者收益来确定是否进行自愿接种，如个体与其邻近的邻居比较上一个季节获得的收益来决定是否采用邻居的策略，也就是说策略更新对于群体的安全保护至关重要.本文研究了不同的策略更新方式对自愿接种行为的影响.通过比较个体采用不同的策略更新方式所获得的群体平均接种比例、疾病暴发规模和社会总花费，研究并设计出合理的策略更新方式，即在花费成本比较低的情况下，获得比较大的群体平均接种比例和较小的疾病覆盖率.
|
| 关 键 词： | 大数据 复杂网络 自愿接种 策略更新 安全保护 |
| 收稿时间： | 2017/6/30 0:00:00 |
Voluntary vaccination strategy and individual security protection inabig data environment |
| |
| DING Hong,NIU Wenfang,WANG Zhen,REN Yizhi and WU Ting.Voluntary vaccination strategy and individual security protection inabig data environment[J].Journal of Nanjing Institute of Meteorology,2017,9(5):521-526. |
| |
| Authors: | DING Hong NIU Wenfang WANG Zhen REN Yizhi and WU Ting |
| |
| Institution: | School of Computer Science and Technology, Hangzhou Dianzi University, Hangzhou 310018,School of Computer Science and Technology, Hangzhou Dianzi University, Hangzhou 310018,School of Cyberspace, Hangzhou Dianzi University, Hangzhou 310018,School of Cyberspace, Hangzhou Dianzi University, Hangzhou 310018 and School of Cyberspace, Hangzhou Dianzi University, Hangzhou 310018 |
| |
| Abstract: | In era of big data,how to make full use of data analysis and data mining to effectively detect the spread of infectious diseases is of great significance for epidemic prevention & control as well as for individual security.Voluntary vaccination is an effective way to achieve broad immunity and safety protection for the whole population.Previous research results have showed that an individual''s decision on voluntary vaccination is mainly based upon tradeoff between the infection risk and the protective profit,in which the decision of the individual''s neighbors in last season is of impact,indicating the influence of strategy-updating for the collective security and protection.This paper studies into the effect of different strategy updates on the voluntary vaccination.The average proportion of vaccination,epidemic scale and total social cost are compared between different strategy updates.Thereafter,a reasonable strategy-updatingisdesigned to achieve relatively big vaccination coverage and small disease outbreak scale with relatively low social cost. |
| |
| Keywords: | big data complex networks voluntary vaccination strategy-updating security |
|
| 点击此处可从《南京气象学院学报》浏览原始摘要信息 |
| 点击此处可从《南京气象学院学报》下载免费的PDF全文 |
|
