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安徽省雷电灾害风险区划
引用本文:刘岩,李征,程向阳,田红.安徽省雷电灾害风险区划[J].南京气象学院学报,2014,6(2):163-168.
作者姓名:刘岩  李征  程向阳  田红
作者单位:安徽省防雷中心, 合肥, 230061;江苏省防雷中心, 南京, 210008;安徽省防雷中心, 合肥, 230061;安徽省气候中心, 合肥, 230061
基金项目:2011年度安徽省气象科技发展基金(KM201117)
摘    要:利用安徽省2005—2010年的闪电定位资料,以安徽省各市的行政区域为评估单元,考虑人口密度以及经济发展因素,选取雷暴日(T)、地闪密度(N)、人口密度(L)、单位面积的GDP(D)作为评估指标,建立层次分析模型,得到安徽省的雷电灾害风险区划,然后利用历史雷灾频次对区划结果进行了校验.结果表明:黄山市、马鞍山、铜陵市、池州市、安庆市、淮南市、合肥市、阜阳市具有较高的雷电灾害风险值;宿州市、亳州市、淮北市雷电灾害风险值较低;其他城市雷电灾害风险值居中.

关 键 词:层次分析  雷电灾害  风险  区划
收稿时间:2012/4/9 0:00:00

Risk assessment of lightning in Anhui province
LIU Yan,LI Zheng,CHENG Xiangyang and TIAN Hong.Risk assessment of lightning in Anhui province[J].Journal of Nanjing Institute of Meteorology,2014,6(2):163-168.
Authors:LIU Yan  LI Zheng  CHENG Xiangyang and TIAN Hong
Institution:Lightning Protection Center of Anhui province, Hefei 230061;Lightning Protection Center of Jiangsu Province, Nanjing 210008;Lightning Protection Center of Anhui province, Hefei 230061;Anhui Climate Center, Hefei 230061
Abstract:Based on the lightning data of Anhui province from 2005 to 2010,taking the administrative region (city) as the basic unit,the risk of lightning disaster in Anhui province was analyzed.Thunderstorm day (T),Lightning density (N),population density (L) and GDP per capita (D) were introduced as main assessment indices and Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) model was adopted to measure the weight.The lightning risk zoning of Anhui province was obtained by the model,and previous lightning disasters were used to verify the validity of the zoning.The result shows that cities of Huangshan,Ma''anshan,Tongling,Chizhou,Anqing,Huainan,Hefei,Fuyang belong to the high risk areas of lightning disaster,while cities of Suzhou,Bozhou,Huaibei belong to the low risk areas of lightning,and other cities belong to the middle risk area of lightning disaster.
Keywords:analytic hierarchy process model (AHP)  lightning disaster  risk  zoning
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