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HLAFS和T63数值预报产品在暴雨分析中的应用
引用本文:陈威,姜荣.HLAFS和T63数值预报产品在暴雨分析中的应用[J].黑龙江气象,1997(3):10-12.
作者姓名:陈威  姜荣
作者单位:黑龙江省气象台
摘    要:首次使用HLAFS数值预报产品对黑龙江省暴雨进行分析,结合T63数值预报产品,利用两者提供的物理一08时和20时的实况场和预报场格点资料,对黑龙江省一次暴雨过程进行分析,找出了暴雨发生的物理机制,指出深厚的水汽条件以及水汽的辐合,强烈的上升运动和不稳定能量的存贮和释放是产生暴雨的关键因素。

关 键 词:暴雨  降水分析  数值预报产品

Application of HLAFS and T63L NWP Products to Analyzing Rainstorm
Chen,Wei,Jiang,Rong,Zhang,Zhixiu.Application of HLAFS and T63L NWP Products to Analyzing Rainstorm[J].Heilongjiang Meteorology,1997(3):10-12.
Authors:Chen  Wei  Jiang  Rong  Zhang  Zhixiu
Institution:Meteorological Observatory of Heilongjiang Province 150030
Abstract:This paper makes an analysis of a rain storm happened in Heilongjiang province based upon the real time field and prediction field of some physical vectors from grid data sets of HLAFS and T63 NWP models.The physical vectors include T Td,moisture flux divergence,vorticity,vertical velocity,relative divergence and potential pseudo equivalent temperature.Through this analysis,the physical reason of rain storm occurrence are found.And the key factors to the occurrence of rain storm are indicated to be adequate moisture,convergence of moisture,dramatic ascending motion and storage and release of instability energy.Meanwhile,a conclusion is reached that both T63 and HLAFS NWP models,especially HLAFS,are of great value in making short term forecast,especially in predicting precipitation.
Keywords:HLAFS  T63  moisture  flux  divergence  vertical  velocity  relative  divergence  instability  energy  vorticity
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