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非随机化人工降雨试验效果评价方法研究
引用本文:曾光平,郑行照,方仕珍,等.非随机化人工降雨试验效果评价方法研究[J].大气科学,1994,18(2):233-242.
作者姓名:曾光平  郑行照  方仕珍  
作者单位:福建省气象科学研究所,福州 350001
摘    要:本文在分析各种非随机化人工降雨试验的基础上提出一种新的评价方案——区域控制模拟试验。统计数值模拟分析及采用本方案对古田人工降雨试验再评价、对河南、江西、山东等省飞机、高炮人工降雨作业效果评价均表明,本方案比其它随机试验方案能较客观、准确评价作业效果。文中还采用统计数值模拟方案探讨区域雨量相关、作业效果对区域控制模拟方案统计结果的影响。

关 键 词:非随机化    人工降雨    区域控制模拟试验    效果评价

Research on the Method of Evaluating the Efficiency of the Non-Randomized Artificial Precipitation Experiments
Zeng Guangping,Zheng Xingzhao,Fang Shizhen and et al..Research on the Method of Evaluating the Efficiency of the Non-Randomized Artificial Precipitation Experiments[J].Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences,1994,18(2):233-242.
Authors:Zeng Guangping  Zheng Xingzhao  Fang Shizhen and
Abstract:Based on various non-randomized artificial precipitation experiments, a new method of the evalu-ating the efficiency of non-randomized artificial precipitation, Regional Control Simulation Experi-ment Scheme is presented. Analyses of the statistical numerical simulation method and the reevaluated results of in the Gutian Reservoir area, as well as the evaluated results of artificial precipitation in Henan, Shandong, Jiangxi provinces by this method, indicate that the Regional Control Simulation Ex-periment Scheme can more objectively and more accurately evaluate the results of artificial precipitation than other non-randomized experiments. The influence of the regional rainfall correlation and seeding results on the statistical results of the Regional Control Simulation Experiment Scheme is also discussed by the statistical numerical simulation method.
Keywords:non-randomized  artificial precipitation  regional control simulation
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