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| 气象条件与 SARS发生的关系分析 | |
| 引用本文： | 叶殿秀,张强,董文杰,陈正洪,赵宗群.气象条件与 SARS发生的关系分析[J].气候与环境研究,2004,9(4):670-679. |
| 作者姓名： | 叶殿秀 张强 董文杰 陈正洪 赵宗群 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 中国气象局国家气候中心气候研究开放实验室,北京,100081 2. 武汉城市气象工程技术中心,武汉,430074 3. 北京大学公共卫生学院,北京,100083 |
| 基金项目： | 国家气象中心业务基金课题ZK2003C-11和湖北省气象局科技发展基金课题 |
| 摘 要： | 根据 2 0 0 3年北京、香港SARS高发期间逐日确诊发病人数序列 ,运用数理统计和幂律关系方法 ,分析了不同地区SARS与气象条件之间的关系。结果表明 :京港两地SARS高发期的波动量与确诊前 7～ 1 0天的最高气温、最低气温、气温日较差、日照时数呈显著负相关 ,与相对湿度、云量呈正相关 ;气象条件与SARS发病人数呈显著的幂律关系 ,为自组织临界态理论在大气科学中的应用提供了观测证据。 |
| 关 键 词： | SARS 气象条件 组织临界态 相关分析 |
| 文章编号： | 1006-9585(2004)04-0670-10 |
| 修稿时间： | 2003年12月25 |
Analysis on the Relationship between Meteorological Conditions and SARS Occurring |
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| Ye Dianxiu,Zhang Qiang,Dong Wenjie,Chen Zhenghong and Zhao Zongqun.Analysis on the Relationship between Meteorological Conditions and SARS Occurring[J].Climatic and Environmental Research,2004,9(4):670-679. | |
| Authors: | Ye Dianxiu Zhang Qiang Dong Wenjie Chen Zhenghong and Zhao Zongqun |
| Abstract: | Based on the series of daily SARS incident numbers in Beijing and Hong Kong areas in 2003, the relationship between SARS and preceding meteorological conditions were analyzed by using statistic analysis and power law. The results show that the fluctuation of SARS incident numbers during high incident stages in the two cities significantly negative relate to daily maximum temperature, minimum temperature, daily range of temperature, sunshine hours and positive relate to relative humid and cover of cloud ahead of 7 to 10 days. The close power law relationship between meteorological conditions and SARS incident numbers provides a strong observation evidence for self-organization critical state theory applied in atmospheric science. |
| Keywords: | SARS meteorological condition self-organization critical state correlative analysis |
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