| Past, Present and Future Climatic Forcing due to Greenhouse Gases |
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| 作者姓名： | 石广玉 樊小标 |
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| 作者单位： | Institute of Atmospheric Physics，Academia Sinica，Beijing 100029，Institute of Atmospheric Physics，Academia Sinica，Beijing 100029 |
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| 摘 要： | An advanced one-dimensional radiative-convective model (RCM) is used to estimate the past, present and future climatic forcings induced by greenhouse gases of anthropogenic origin, such as CO2, CH4, N2O and CFCs, in this paper. The results show that the decadal climatic forcing for the last decade is one-order bigger than that prior to the year 1900, and in the case of no control on the emission of the greenhouse gases the climatic forcing for the year 2100 will be almost 4 times as much as now.
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