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The 2020/21 Extremely Cold Winter in China Influenced by the Synergistic Effect of La Niña and Warm Arctic
作者姓名:Fei ZHENG  Yuan YUAN  Yihui DING  Kexin LI  Xianghui FANG  Yuheng ZHAO  Yue SUN  Jiang ZHU  Zongjian KE  Ji WANG  Xiaolong JIA
作者单位:International Center for Climate and Environment Science(ICCES);Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters;National Climate Center;University of Chinese Academy of Sciences;Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences&Institute of Atmospheric Sciences;Beijing Municipal Climate Center
基金项目:supported by the national key R&D Program of China(Grant No 2018YFC1505603);the Key Research Program of Frontier Sciences,CAS(Grant No.ZDBS-LY-DQC010);the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.41876012,41861144015).
摘    要:In the first half of winter 2020/21,China has experienced an extremely cold period across both northern and southern regions,with record-breaking low temperatures set in many stations of China.Meanwhile,a moderate La Ni?a event which exceeded both oceanic and atmospheric thresholds began in August 2020 and in a few months developed into its mature phase,just prior to the 2020/21 winter.In this report,the mid?high-latitude large-scale atmospheric circulation anomalies in the Northern Hemisphere,which were forced by the negative phase of Arctic Oscillation,a strengthened Siberian High,an intensified Ural High and a deepened East Asian Trough,are considered to be the direct reason for the frequent cold surges in winter 2020/21.At the same time,the synergistic effect of the warm Arctic and the cold tropical Pacific(La Ni?a)provided an indispensable background,at a hemispheric scale,to intensify the atmospheric circulation anomalies in middle-to-high latitudes.In the end,a most recent La Ni?a prediction is provided and the on-coming evolution of climate is discussed for the remaining part of the 2020/21 winter for the purpose of future decision-making and early warning.

关 键 词:extremely  cold  winter  anomalous  atmospheric  circulation  synergistic  effect  La  Ni?a  warm  Arctic
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