| Experiments of Reconstructing Discrete Atmospheric Dynamic Models from Data (I) |
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| 作者姓名： | Lin Zhenshan Zhu Yanyu Deng Ziwang |
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| 作者单位： | The Climatic and Global Change Institute of Nanjing University，Nanjing 210093，The Climatic and Global Change Institute of Nanjing University，Nanjing 210093，The Climatic and Global Change Institute of Nanjing University，Nanjing 210093 |
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| 基金项目： | This study is sponosored by National Natural Science Foundation of China. |
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| 摘 要： | In this paper, we give some experimental results of our study in reconstructing discrete atmospheric dynamic models from data. After a great deal of numerical experiments, we found that the logistic map, xn +1= 1-uxn2 could be used in monthly mean temperature prediction when it was approaching the chaotic region, and its predictive results were in reverse states to the practical data. This means that the nonlinear developing behavior of the monthly mean temperature system is bifurcating back into the critical chaotic states from the chaotic ones.
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| 收稿时间： | 10 May 1994 |
Experiments of reconstructing discrete atmospheric dynamic models from data (I) |
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| Lin Zhenshan,Zhu Yanyu,Deng Ziwang.Experiments of Reconstructing Discrete Atmospheric Dynamic Models from Data (I)[J].Advances in Atmospheric Sciences,1995,12(1):121-125. |
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| Authors: | Lin Zhenshan Zhu Yanyu Deng Ziwang |
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| Institution: | TheClimaticandGlobalChangeInstituteofNanjingUniversity,Nanjing210093,TheClimaticandGlobalChangeInstituteofNanjingUniversity,Nanjing210093,TheClimaticandGlobalChangeInstituteofNanjingUniversity,Nanjing210093 |
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| Abstract: | In this paper, we give some experimental results of our study in reconstructing discrete atmospheric dynamic models from data. After a great deal of numerical experiments, we found that the logistic map, xn +1= 1-uxn2 could be used in monthly mean temperature prediction when it was approaching the chaotic region, and its predictive results were in reverse states to the practical data. This means that the nonlinear developing behavior of the monthly mean temperature system is bifurcating back into the critical chaotic states from the chaotic ones. |
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| Keywords: | Reconstruction Discrete dynamic model Chaos Bifurcation Logistic map |
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