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1954—2005年锦州气温变化及其受城市热环境的影响
引用本文:杨桂娟,鄢志宇.1954—2005年锦州气温变化及其受城市热环境的影响[J].气象与环境学报,2008,24(1):40-43.
作者姓名:杨桂娟  鄢志宇
作者单位:锦州市气象局 辽宁锦州121001
摘    要:根据1954—2005年锦州累年逐月平均气温资料,采用一元线性趋势估计和滑动平均方法分析了近半个世纪锦州季和年平均气温变化趋势;采用滑动t检验法分析了气温突变。结果表明:近半个世纪锦州气温变化呈明显上升趋势,20世纪80年代后期气温发生突变,其后气温持续偏高;同时根据锦州城郊农业试验站的资料,初步分析了城市热环境对气温的影响。分析表明,人为的城市热环境是自20世纪80年代以来锦州气温偏高的主要原因之一。

关 键 词:气温  线性趋势估计  滑动t检验法  
文章编号:1673-503X(2008)01-0040-04
收稿时间:2007-3-21
修稿时间:2007年3月21日

Characteristics of air temperature and the impact of urban heat environment in Jinzhou from 1954 to 2005
YANG Gui-juan,YAN Zhi-yu.Characteristics of air temperature and the impact of urban heat environment in Jinzhou from 1954 to 2005[J].Journal of Meteorology and Environment,2008,24(1):40-43.
Authors:YANG Gui-juan  YAN Zhi-yu
Institution:Jinzhou Meteorological Bureau;Jinzhou 121001;China
Abstract:Based on monthly average air temperature data in Jinzhou from 1954 to 2005,the seasonal and annual average air temperature changes were analyzed by linear trend method and moving average method.At the same time,the abrupt change of air temperature was determined by sliding t-test method.The results indicate that air temperature change takes on an obvious ascending trend during the recent 50 years in Jinzhou.The abrupt change of air temperature appears in the late 1980s.Since then,air temperature always keeps the higher value.According to agricultural station data in the suburb,the effect of urban heat environment on air temperature was analyzed.It states that the effect of urban heat environment on air temperature is one of main reasons causing higher temperature in Jinzhou since the 1980s.
Keywords:Air temperature  Liner trend estimation  Sliding t-test method  Urban heat environment
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