| WAVEWATCHIII模式在渤海海浪预报的应用与检验 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 李燕,黄振,张俊峰,吴文杰,张彩凤,赵钱飞.WAVEWATCHIII模式在渤海海浪预报的应用与检验[J].气象与环境学报,2014,30(1):23-29. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 李燕 黄振 张俊峰 吴文杰 张彩凤 赵钱飞 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 1.大连市气象局，辽宁 大连 116001；2.庄河市气象局，辽宁 大连 116400 |
| |
| 基金项目： | 中国气象局业务项目（320100S011C00）资助. |
| |
| 摘 要： | 大连黄海、渤海海浪数值预报系统采用WAVEWATCHIII模式进行海浪预报，预报产品包括48 h内浪高、周期、浪向的逐3 h预报，并对其进行检验。结果表明：WAVEWATCHIII模式对渤海中部浪高模拟较好，浪高预报TS为71.7 %，对近岸海区浪高模拟相对差些。个例的检验表明，浪高最大值模拟较好，模拟浪高最大值出现的时间与实况基本吻合，浪高变化趋势预报也较好。AVEWATCHIII模式对两个周期个例进行检验，预报误差最低可达到0.17 s，预报效果较好。
|
| 关 键 词： | 海浪预报 浪高 周期 |
Application and verification of sea wave forecast by WAVEWATCH Ⅲ model in the Bohai Sea of China |
| |
| LI Yan,HUANG Zhen,ZHANG Jun-feng,WU Wen-jie,ZHANG Cai-feng,ZHAO Qian-fei.Application and verification of sea wave forecast by WAVEWATCH Ⅲ model in the Bohai Sea of China[J].Journal of Meteorology and Environment,2014,30(1):23-29. |
| |
| Authors: | LI Yan HUANG Zhen ZHANG Jun-feng WU Wen-jie ZHANG Cai-feng ZHAO Qian-fei |
| |
| Institution: | 1.Dalian Meteorological Service, Dalian 116001, China; 2. Zhuanghe Meteorological Service, Zhuanghe 116400, China |
| |
| Abstract: | Sea wave was forecasted by the WAVEWATCH Ⅲ model in the Yellow Sea and the Bohai Sea of Dalian. The products from the sea wave numerical forecast system include sea wave height,sea wave period and sea wave direction every three hours within 48 hours, and all were tested. The results indicate that the sea wave height could be simulated well by the WAVEWATCH Ⅲ model in the middle of the Bohai Sea and TS （Threat Score） of sea wave height reaches 71.7% ,while that is not well near the coast. The analysis of some cases shows that the maximum sea wave height and the trend of sea wave height could be simulated well. The occurrence time of the maximum sea wave height from the model agrees with that of the observation. Moreover, the simulated two sea wave period cases are tested, and the lowest error is 0. 17 s. The forecast effect of sea wave period by the WAVEWATCH Ⅲ model is good. |
| |
| Keywords: | Sea wave forecast Sea wave height Period |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 等数据库收录！ |
| 点击此处可从《气象与环境学报》浏览原始摘要信息 |
| 点击此处可从《气象与环境学报》下载免费的PDF全文 |
