| 贵阳地区气候季节变化对心脑血管发病人数占比的影响研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 瞿冲,王式功,李河利,周婕,郭勇,丁立国,尹立,贺前艳,陆美静.贵阳地区气候季节变化对心脑血管发病人数占比的影响研究[J].新疆气象,2023,17(6). |
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| 作者姓名： | 瞿冲 王式功 李河利 周婕 郭勇 丁立国 尹立 贺前艳 陆美静 |
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| 作者单位： | 成都信息工程大学大气科学学院 四川 成都,成都信息工程大学大气科学学院 四川 成都,成都信息工程大学大气科学学院 四川 成都,贵州省疾控中心 贵州 贵阳,贵州省社会组织服务中心 贵州 贵阳,贵州省气候中心 贵州 贵阳,攀枝花市中心医院气象医学研究中心 四川 攀枝花,贵州特殊教育中等职业技术学校 贵州 贵阳,成都信息工程大学大气科学学院 四川 成都 |
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| 基金项目： | 2021年度贵州省科技支撑计划项目---基于气象医学的心脑血管疾病防控的健康养老服务新技术研究与示范(黔科合支撑[2021]一般388)、攀枝花市科学技术局创新中心建设项目(编号:2021ZX-5-1)和2021年度第二批攀枝花市市级科技计划项目(编号:2021CY-S-4)共同资助。 |
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| 摘 要： | 利用1961-2020年贵阳市所辖8个地面站点逐日气象观测资料,根据中国气象行业气候季节划分标准（QX/T152—2012）对其进行气候季节划分并分析季节漂移现象,基于“黄金分割率”的人体舒适度计算方法分析贵阳地区人体舒适度等级变化,再结合贵阳地区2016-2020年共5年的心脑血管疾病发病人数门诊资料就当地气候季节漂移和舒适度等级变化对居民心脑血管疾病发病人数占比影响进行探究。结果表明：（1）贵阳地区春季的起止时间呈提前态势,秋季的起止时间有推迟态势,由此造成当地夏季正逐渐增长,冬季正逐渐缩短,从年代际看,夏季从44 d增加到76 d,冬季从130 d缩短到100 d;春季和秋季在长度上无明显变化,但在时间段上有漂移现象,经计算,春季的起始时间漂移度为16.3%,结束时间漂移度为18.3%,秋季的起始时间漂移度为25.6%,结束时间漂移度为14.6%。（2）贵阳地区夏季心脑血管疾病发病人数日占比为0.24%,冬季发病人数日占比为0.31%,随着气候变暖造成的夏季增长、冬季缩短,对贵阳地区居民心脑血管疾病发病人数占比效应为-1.62%;不同舒适域等级日数的改变对心脑血管发病人数占比效应为-0.87%,两者均表明,全球变暖所导致的气候季节和舒适度等级变化均对贵阳地区居民心脑血管疾病发病人数占比有降低效应。
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| 关 键 词： | 贵阳地区 气候季节漂移 人体舒适度 心脑血管疾病 降低效应 |
| 收稿时间： | 2022/11/29 0:00:00 |
| 修稿时间： | 2023/3/21 0:00:00 |
Study on the influence of seasonal changes of climate on the proportion of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular cases in Guiyang area |
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| quchong,wangshigong,and.Study on the influence of seasonal changes of climate on the proportion of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular cases in Guiyang area[J].Bimonthly of Xinjiang Meteorology,2023,17(6). |
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| Authors: | quchong wangshigong and |
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| Institution: | Chengdu University of Information Technology,Chengdu University of Information Technology,,,,,,, |
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| Abstract: | Using the daily meteorological observation data of eight ground stations under the jurisdiction of Guiyang City from 1961 to 2020, according to the climate seasonal division standard of Chinese meteorological industry (QX/T152-2012), it was divided into seasonal climates and its seasonal drift phenomenon was analyzed, and the human comfort level change in Guiyang area was analyzed based on the "golden ratio" human comfort calculation method, combined with the outpatient data of the incidence of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases in Guiyang for a total of 5 years from 2016 to 2020, the impact of local climate, seasonal drift and comfort level changes on the proportion of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases in residents was explored. The results show that:(1) The start and end time of spring showed an early trend, and the start and end time of autumn had a backward trend in Guiyang area, resulting in the local summer was gradually increasing, winter was gradually shortening, from the perspective of decadal, summer increased from 44d to 76d and winter shortened from 130d to 100d; There was no significant change in length in spring and autumn, but there was drift in time period, by calculation, the start time drift in spring was 16.3% and the end time drift was 18.3%, the start time drift in autumn was 25.6% and the end time drift was 14.6%. (2) The daily proportion of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases in Guiyang was 0.24%, and the daily proportion of winter cases was 0.31%, With the increase of summer length and shortening of winter length caused by climate warming, the proportion of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases in Guiyang was -1.62%; The effect of changing the number of days with different comfort levels on cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases was -0.87%, both showed that the changes in climate season and comfort level caused by global warming had a reducing effect on the proportion of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases in Guiyang. |
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