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哈密地区气象干旱监测指数研究
引用本文:慕彩芸.哈密地区气象干旱监测指数研究[J].新疆气象,2014,8(1):6-10.
作者姓名:慕彩芸
作者单位:[1]哈密地区气象局,新疆哈密839000 [2]独山子气象局,新疆独山子833600
基金项目:基金项目:2011年中央级公益性科研院所基本科研业务费项目(IDM201104)和新疆气象局业务新技术项目(YX200806)资助.
摘    要:应用Z指数方法和帕默尔气象干旱指数基本原理的优点,选取哈密地区6个代表站1961—2010年逐月降水量资料,分南、北两个区域建立区域修正帕默尔气象干旱指数,确定了区域旱涝等级的划分标准。以计算得到的干旱指数与历史旱情记录进行对比验证,并与Z指数、降水距平百分率干旱指数对比分析,结果表明该干旱指数对干旱的反应符合历史实际,较Z指数、降水距平百分率干旱指数更适合当地应用。在此基础上,对哈密地区修正帕默尔气象干旱指数与旱情的关系及干旱发生的特征作了更进一步分析。

关 键 词:干旱监测指数  干旱等级  干旱特征  哈密地区

Research on Meteorological Drought Monitoring Index in Hami
MU Caiyun,CHENG Haitao,ZHANG Zhixiong.Research on Meteorological Drought Monitoring Index in Hami[J].Bimonthly of Xinjiang Meteorology,2014,8(1):6-10.
Authors:MU Caiyun  CHENG Haitao  ZHANG Zhixiong
Institution:1.Hami Meteorological Bureau, Hami 839000, China; 2.Dushanzi Meteorological Bureau, Dushanzi 833600, China)
Abstract:The modified regional Palmer indexes of drought monitoring for south and north part of Hami were established based on the principle of Z index and Palmer index, the monthly precipitation data of six representative stations in Hami (1961-2010). The standard for regional drought grades were also determined. Comparing the computed drought index with the recorded historical drought, and drought index of precipitation anomaly percentage and Z index, the result showed the modified Palmer drought index can reflect the meteorological drought in Hami better and has more advantages and was more suitable for the local operation than the drought index of precipitation anomaly percentage and Z index. Furthermore,the relationship between modified Palmer index for drought monitoring and drought situation as well as the drought characteristics in Hami were analyzed.
Keywords:drought monitoring index  drought grade  drought characteristics  Hami Area
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