Modelling Extreme Storm-Induced Currents over the Grand Banks |
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| Authors: | Yongsheng Wu Charles CL Tang Michael Z Li Robert H Prescott |
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| Institution: | 1. Coastal Ocean Science Section, Ocean Science Division, Fisheries and Oceans Canada , Bedford Institute of Oceanography , Dartmouth, Nova Scotia, Canada , B2Y 4A2Yongsheng.Wu@dfo-mpo.gc.ca;3. Coastal Ocean Science Section, Ocean Science Division, Fisheries and Oceans Canada , Bedford Institute of Oceanography , Dartmouth, Nova Scotia, Canada , B2Y 4A2;4. Geological Survey of Canada – Atlantic , Bedford Institute of Oceanography , Dartmouth, Nova Scotia, Canada , B2Y 4A2;5. Prescott and Zou Consulting , 6 Glenn Drive, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada , B3M 2B9 |
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| Abstract: | Abstract The wind climate of the mountainous terrain in the southern Yukon is simulated using the Wind Energy Simulation Toolkit (WEST) developed by the Recherche en Prévision Numérique (RPN) group of Environment Canada and is compared to measurements in the field. WEST combines two models that operate at different spatial scales. The Mesoscale Compressible Community (MC2) model is a mesoscale numerical weather prediction model that produces simulations over large domains of the order of a thousand kilometres. The MC2 model uses long‐term synoptic scale wind climate data from the analysis of radiosonde and other observations to simulate mean wind fields at tens of metres above the ground using a horizontal resolution of a few kilometres. The mesoscale results are used as input to MS‐Micro/3 (Mason and Sykes (1979) version of the Jackson and Hunt (1975) model version for microcomputers/3‐dimensional; MS‐Micro hereafter), a more computer‐efficient, microscale model with simpler linearized momentum equations and a domain restricted to a few tens of kilometres with horizontal grid sizes of tens or hundreds of metres. MS‐Micro provides wind field results at specific wind generator hub heights (typically 30 to 50 m above ground level (AGL)) which are of interest to researchers and developers of wind farms. WEST shows relatively strong correlations between its simulated long‐term mean wind speed and the measurements from ten wind energy monitoring stations. However, in the mountainous terrain of the Yukon, WEST tends to predict wind speeds which are about 40% too high. The model also produces erroneous wind directions and some were perpendicular to valley orientations. The most likely cause of the wind speed and direction errors is the substantially modified 5‐km grid‐spaced mesoscale terrain used in MC2. The WEST simulation was also found to double the wind speeds observed at airport stations and there was poor correlation between the simulated and observed wind speeds. The bias in the model could be attributed to a number of factors, including the use of smoothed topography by the model, the discrepancy between the neutral atmosphere assumed in MS‐Micro and the normally observed stable atmosphere, the application of MS‐Micro to every third grid point of the MC2 output, abnormally high sea level wind speeds in the input climate data for MC2, and a certain degree of disagreement between the land surface characteristics used in the model and those found in the field. At comparatively low computer cost, WEST predicts a wind climate map that compares favourably to the wind measurements made in several locations in the Yukon. However, the problem of the modified terrain in the mountainous regions is the most pressing problem and needs to be addressed before WEST is used in the mountainous regions of Canada. |
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| Keywords: | extreme currents storms circulation model the Grand Banks |
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