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台风活动的气候突变
引用本文:陈兴芳,晁淑懿.台风活动的气候突变[J].热带气象学报,1997,13(2):97-104.
作者姓名:陈兴芳  晁淑懿
作者单位:[1]国家气候中心 [2]国家气象中心
摘    要:通过近40个西太平洋和南海台风资料的分析,发现台风活动有着明显的气候振动,并且在70年代前期发生气候突变,表现为70年代前期以前台风数增多,台风偏强趋势;70年代中期以后则相反,为台内数减少台风偏弱趋势。80年代末台风数再次转为增多趋势,但

关 键 词:台风  气候变化  风速  环流场
收稿时间:9/8/1995 12:00:00 AM
修稿时间:1995/12/18 0:00:00

THE JUMP OF CLIMATE CHANGE OF TYPHOON ACTIVITIES
Chen Xingfang and Chao Shuyi.THE JUMP OF CLIMATE CHANGE OF TYPHOON ACTIVITIES[J].Journal of Tropical Meteorology,1997,13(2):97-104.
Authors:Chen Xingfang and Chao Shuyi
Institution:National climate center, Beijing National meteorological center, 100081
Abstract:Based on data of typhoon over the west pacific and the South China Sea for the last 40 years,the short-term climatic oscillation of typhoon activities is anomalous.The result discovers that tendency of climatic variation of typhoon activities had the jump of climatic change in early 1970's.It shows that before the jump of change the number of typhoon is increased and the intensity of typhoon is intensified,after that the tendency of variation is contrary.In addition, the increase of typhoon number during the recent years suggests again the jump of climatic change in late 1980's,but the intensity of typhoon is not present.The analysis indicated that the short-term clilmatic oscillation and the jump of climatic change have certain physical background.Such climatic change tendency of typhoon is related to the climatic oscillations of general circulation and SST,especially to the west Pacific subtropical high.
Keywords:Typhoon    Short  term climatic oscillation    Jump of change
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