| 上海夏季用电安全风险区划及推广应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 贺芳芳,杨雅薇,郭林,陈艳.上海夏季用电安全风险区划及推广应用[J].热带气象学报,2012,28(4):577-584. |
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| 作者姓名： | 贺芳芳 杨雅薇 郭林 陈艳 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 上海气候中心,上海,200030
2. 厦门市气象局,福建厦门,361012 |
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| 基金项目： | 中国气象局气象新技术推广项目“夏季用电安全的风险区划技术推广应用”(CMATG2010M11)资助 |
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| 摘 要： | 依据自然灾害风险分析的原理和上海地区各区县的电力、气象、社会经济资料,建立上海地区夏季用电安全风险评估模型,在此基础上进行上海市夏季用电安全致灾因子危险性、承灾体社会暴露性、孕灾环境敏感性、抗灾能力及综合指数风险区划,得出上海市夏季用电高风险区为中心城区,次高风险区为宝山区、闵行区、浦东新区,中等风险区为嘉定区、青浦区、松江区、南汇区,低风险区为崇明县、金山区、奉贤区。并以上海地区夏季用电安全风险评估模型为基础,在数据库、地理信息系统技术支持下,制作城市夏季用电安全风险区划软件,用此软件进行厦门市夏季用电安全风险区划,得出高风险区为思明区,中等风险区为同安区、湖里区,低风险区为海沧区、翔安区、集美区。
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| 关 键 词： | 应用气候学 风险区划 GIS自然断点法 夏季用电安全 推广应用 |
THE RISK REGIONALIZATION AND SPREAD-APPLICATION OF THE SUMMER ELECTRO-SAFETY IN SHANGHA |
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| HE Fang-fang
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YANG Ya-wei
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GUI Lin
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CHEN Yan.THE RISK REGIONALIZATION AND SPREAD-APPLICATION OF THE SUMMER ELECTRO-SAFETY IN SHANGHA[J].Journal of Tropical Meteorology,2012,28(4):577-584. |
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| Authors: | HE Fang-fang YANG Ya-wei GUI Lin CHEN Yan |
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| Institution: | 1.Shanghai Climate Center,Shanghai 200030,China;2.Xiamen Meteorological Bureau,Xiamen 361012,China) |
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| Abstract: | Based on the rules of natural disaster risk analysis and eletricity,meteorological,and socio-economic data in Shanghai,an evaluation model of risk regionalization of summer electro-safety in Shanghai has been made.Based on the model,risk regionalization is conducted of hazards of disaster-causing factors and socio-exposure of disaster-bearing bodies,sensitivity of disaster-embedded environment,anti-disaster ability and integrative index for summer electro-safety in Shanghai.Based on the evaluation model and database technology as well as geographic information system(GIS),a software of risk regionalization of summer electro-safety on city has been made and appled to the the risk regionalization of summer electro-safety in Xiamen. |
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| Keywords: | applied climatology risk regionalization GIS Natural Breaks methods summer electro-safety spread and application |
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