| 用卡尔曼滤波预报南海热带气旋路径的试验 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 刘春霞,周家斌.用卡尔曼滤波预报南海热带气旋路径的试验[J].热带气象学报,1997,13(4):359-356. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 刘春霞 周家斌 |
| |
| 作者单位： | [1]广州热带海洋气象研究所 [2]中国科学院大气物理研究所 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 利用卡尔曼滤波方法预报南海热带气旋路径，发现采用卡尔曼滤波可以大大地降低预报误差，提高预测模型的预报能力。
|
| 关 键 词： | 卡尔曼滤波 预测模型 预报误差 热带气旋 路径 |
| 收稿时间： | 1995/12/1 0:00:00 |
| 修稿时间： | 6/4/1997 12:00:00 AM |
THE STUDY ON TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS PREDICTION OVER SOUTH CHINA SEA |
| |
| Liu Chunxia and Zhou Jiabin.THE STUDY ON TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS PREDICTION OVER SOUTH CHINA SEA[J].Journal of Tropical Meteorology,1997,13(4):359-356. |
| |
| Authors: | Liu Chunxia and Zhou Jiabin |
| |
| Institution: | Guangzhou Institute of Tropical and Oceanic Meteorology, Guangzhou, 510080;Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Science |
| |
| Abstract: | The least predicting error sum of square(PRESS) and Kalmanfilter were applied to build predicting model in this paper. Firstly, we constructed a model on the basis of PRESS. Then, the prediction model was amended by Kalmanfilter. The predicted results sho |
| |
| Keywords: | PRESS Kalman filtering Tropical cyclone prediction Forecasting error |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 等数据库收录！ |
| 点击此处可从《热带气象学报》浏览原始摘要信息 |
| 点击此处可从《热带气象学报》下载免费的PDF全文 |
