| 东海热带气旋路径预报模式业务运行结果及改进模式 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 顾建峰,蒋贤安,殷鹤宝,徐一鸣.东海热带气旋路径预报模式业务运行结果及改进模式[J].热带气象学报,2000,16(1):54-61. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 顾建峰 蒋贤安 殷鹤宝 徐一鸣 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 上海台风研究所,上海,200030 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 统计分析了东海热带气旋路径预报模式在１９９６年、１９９７年和１９９８年三年业务运行的结果；系统地与主观预报和日本数值预报结果进行了同个例同时次的比较：对模式边界层物理过程中摩擦拖曳系数以及二次台风Ｂｏｇｕｓ技术、三维最优插值客观分析方法和资料同化等影响热带气旋移动的作用进行了试验研究；实现了间歇资料同化处理的业务化运行。
|
| 关 键 词： | 热带气旋 边界层 台风 气旋预报 气旋路径 东海 |
| 文章编号： | 1004-4965(2000)01-0054-08 |
| 收稿时间： | 1998/12/1 0:00:00 |
| 修稿时间： | 1998年12月1日 |
THE OPERATIONAL PREDICTION RESULTS OF THE EAST CHINA SEA TROPICAL CYCLONE MODEL AND IMPROVEMENT OF THE MODEL |
| |
| GU Jian-feng,JIANG Xian-an,YIN He-bao and XU Yi-ming.THE OPERATIONAL PREDICTION RESULTS OF THE EAST CHINA SEA TROPICAL CYCLONE MODEL AND IMPROVEMENT OF THE MODEL[J].Journal of Tropical Meteorology,2000,16(1):54-61. |
| |
| Authors: | GU Jian-feng JIANG Xian-an YIN He-bao and XU Yi-ming |
| |
| Institution: | Shanghai Typehoon Institute. Shanghai 200030 |
| |
| Abstract: | Three years' operational prediction results by the tropical cyclone track model of East China sea in 1996. 1997 and 1998 were counted in this paper. These results were compared with subjective forecast and Japan typhoon NWP on the same samples and the sam |
| |
| Keywords: | Tropical cyclone model Planetary boundary layer Typhoon bogus Objective analysis Data assimilation |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
| 点击此处可从《热带气象学报》浏览原始摘要信息 |
| 点击此处可从《热带气象学报》下载免费的PDF全文 |
