| 日本数值预报产品降水预报准确性检验 |
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| 引用本文： | 张文达.日本数值预报产品降水预报准确性检验[J].气象,1997,23(4):1-2. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张文达 |
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| 作者单位： | 上海中心气象台 |
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| 摘 要： | 作者对日本部分数值预报产品对上海市市区的降水预报准确性作了初步检验。检验结果表明，它们的降水预报正确率仅为６０％左右，且月际变化较大，无明显规律。使用数值预报产品时必须结合本地区当时的实际情况，根据多种工具结合预报经验综合运用，不能盲目照搬。
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| 关 键 词： | 日本数值预报产品 降水预报 检验 |
Accuracy Test of the Precipitation Forecast Using JMA Numerical Products |
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| Zhang Wenda.Accuracy Test of the Precipitation Forecast Using JMA Numerical Products[J].Meteorological Monthly,1997,23(4):1-2. |
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| Authors: | Zhang Wenda |
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| Abstract: | The Shanghai precipitation forecasts using JMA numerical weather prediction have been tested. The result shows that the forecast accuracy of Shanghai precipitation is 60% only,and its monthly change is obvious and not regular. The forecaster's experience,the other forecasting tools and the local current weather must be considered by means of the numerical weather prediction of JMA. |
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| Keywords: | products of numerical weather prediction precipitation forecasts est |
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