| 林火多因子综合分析及预报方法 |
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| 引用本文： | 施望芝.林火多因子综合分析及预报方法[J].气象,1997,23(7):55-57. |
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| 作者姓名： | 施望芝 |
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| 作者单位： | 武汉中心气象台 |
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| 摘 要： | 通过对１９８７年１月￣１９９０年４月期间发生在湖北省的森林火灾过程进行分析，建立了一套较客观的火险天气环流形势预报指标，经过３年多的应用，预报效果良好。另外，还利用地面气象要素分析研究出通过计算燃料中水分的得失，从而得到预报火险等级的方法。经过１９９５年１１月－１９９６年１月的检验，结果表明：这一预报方法具有一定的预报技巧，在林火天气预报中能起很好的参考作用。
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| 关 键 词： | 林火预报 火险等级 森林 多因子综合 火灾 |
Analysis on Multi-Factor of Weather Prediction about Forest Fire and Forecasting Method |
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| Shi Wangzhi.Analysis on Multi-Factor of Weather Prediction about Forest Fire and Forecasting Method[J].Meteorological Monthly,1997,23(7):55-57. |
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| Authors: | Shi Wangzhi |
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| Abstract: | By analysis of the forest fire occured in Hubei province from Jan.1987 to April 1990,a set of objective forecasting indexes of atmospheric circulation about fire weather are established.In addition,surface weather factor are used to calculate the index reflecting moisture content of fuels,and the level of forest fire danger can be forecasted.From Nov.1995 to Jan.1996,the experiment results showed that the forecasting method is a useful tool for forecasting forest fire weather. |
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| Keywords: | forest fire prediction flammability level of forest fire danger |
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